Tuesday, April 10, 2018

USDA April Estimated.

RPT-TABLE-USDA April crop supply/demand report estimates - Reuters News

10-Apr-2018 08:53:23 PM

Repeats April 9 item with no changes to text

- The following tables summarize trade expectations for the U.S. Department of Agriculture's monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, which is scheduled for release at 12 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT) on Tuesday.

U.S. ending stocks figures are quoted in billions of bushels. World ending stocks and production figures are quoted in millions of tonnes.

 

USDA 2017-18 U.S. grain and soybean ending stocks

USDA April

Average of

Range of

USDA March

2017-18

analysts'

analysts'

2017-18

end-stocks

estimates

estimates

end-stocks

estimates

estimates

Wheat

_______

1.036

0.989-1.060

1.034

Corn

_______

2.189

2.067-2.265

2.127

Soybeans

_______

0.574

0.545-0.625

0.555

 

USDA 2017-18 world grain and soybean ending stocks

USDA April

Average of

Range of

USDA March

2017-18

analysts'

analysts'

2017-18

end-stocks

estimates

estimates

end-stocks

estimates

estimates

Wheat

________

268.16

266.50-270.00

268.89

Corn

________

197.29

191.50-202.00

199.17

Soybeans

________

92.95

91.00-96.00

94.40

 

 

USDA 2017-18 South American corn and soy production

USDA April

Average of

Range of

USDA March

2017-18

analysts'

analysts'

2017-18

estimate

estimates

estimates

estimate

ARGENTINA

________

Corn

________

33.74

32.00-36.00

36.00

Soybeans

________

42.66

40.50-46.00

47.00

BRAZIL

Corn

________

92.71

86.46-96.00

94.50

Soybeans

________

115.25

113.30-117.00

113.00

 

USDA world production

April USDA

March USDA

April USDA

March USDA

2016-17

2016-17

2017-18

2017-18

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

Argentina wheat

_____

18.40

_____

18.00

Australia wheat

_____

30.36

_____

21.50

Canada wheat

_____

31.73

_____

30.00

Russia wheat

_____

72.53

_____

84.99

Argentina corn

_____

41.00

_____

36.00

Brazil corn

_____

98.50

_____

94.50

South Africa corn

_____

17.48

____

13.00

China corn

______

219.55

______

215.89

Ukraine corn

_____

27.97

_____

24.12

Argentina soy

_____

57.80

_____

47.00

Brazil soy

______

114.10

______

113.00

 

(Reporting by Julie Ingwersen
Editing by Tom Brown)

 

 

RPT-POLL-Trade estimates for USDA April South America crop report - Reuters News

10-Apr-2018 08:53:13 PM

Repeats April 5 item with no changes to text

- The following are analysts' estimates ahead of the April crop supply/demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), which will include figures for Argentina and Brazil 2017-18 production of corn and soybeans.

The USDA is scheduled to release the report on Tuesday, April 10, at 12 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT).

Reuters surveys analysts for their expectations of what the USDA will report and for the analysts' own estimates, which can differ from the government's projections. Reuters publishes these sets of numbers separately.

NOTE: Production figures are in millions of tonnes.

 

PREDICTING USDA:

2017/18 Crop Production

Argentina

Brazil

Corn

Soybean

Corn

Soybean

Average trade estimate

33.74

42.66

92.71

115.25

Highest trade estimate

36.00

46.00

96.00

117.00

Lowest trade estimate

32.00

40.50

86.46

113.30

USDA March

36.00

47.00

94.50

113.00

Agrivisor

33.00

43.00

94.50

115.00

Allendale Inc

36.00

42.50

93.00

116.00

Brugler Marketing

32.00

43.00

94.00

116.00

DC Analysis

32.00

41.00

91.00

116.00

Doane Advisory Services

34.00

41.00

90.00

117.00

ED&F Man

35.00

45.00

93.00

115.00

Futures International

32.00

42.00

92.50

115.00

INTL FCStone

33.00

42.00

86.46

115.90

Lakefront Futures

35.00

46.00

94.50

113.50

MaxYield Cooperative

34.00

43.00

92.00

116.00

McKeany-Flavell

33.00

42.50

92.00

114.00

Northstar Commodity

33.00

42.00

93.00

116.00

Price Futures Group

32.00

41.00

94.50

116.00

Prime AG

35.00

43.00

96.00

115.00

Risk Management Commodities

35.00

40.50

94.50

113.30

Sid Love Consulting

34.00

42.00

95.00

114.00

The Hueber Report

34.00

44.00

92.50

114.00

U.S. Commodities

34.00

43.00

91.00

116.00

Zaner Ag Hedge

35.00

44.00

92.00

116.00

 

ANALYSTS' OWN ESTIMATES:

 

2017/18 Crop Production

Argentina

Brazil

Corn

Soybean

Corn

Soybean

Average trade estimate

32.72

41.32

90.00

116.18

Highest trade estimate

35.50

46.00

94.00

119.00

Lowest trade estimate

29.00

38.90

86.00

113.00

USDA March

36.00

47.00

94.50

113.00

ADM Investor Services

32.00

41.00

90.00

116.00

Brugler Marketing

32.00

42.00

94.00

116.00

DC Analysis

32.00

39.00

89.00

118.00

Farm Futures

33.90

42.20

94.00

117.00

Hightower Report

29.00

39.00

87.00

115.50

INTL FCStone

33.00

42.00

86.46

115.90

Lakefront Futures

35.50

46.00

94.00

113.00

Lanworth*

30.90

39.00

86.60

116.00

MaxYield Cooperative

34.00

41.00

92.00

119.00

Risk management commodities

33.00

38.90

92.00

114.00

Soybean and Corn Advisor

32.00

40.00

86.00

115.00

U.S. Commodities

34.00

43.00

91.00

116.00

Zaner Ag Hedge

34.00

44.00

88.00

119.00

*Lanworth estimates as of April 4

 

(Reporting by Sumita Layek and Vijaykumar Vedala in Bengaluru; Editing by Tom Brown)

 

 

RPT-POLL-Trade estimates for USDA April world crop end-stocks - Reuters News

10-Apr-2018 08:53:06 PM

Repeats April 5 item with no changes to text

- The following are analysts' estimates ahead of the April crop supply/demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, which will estimate 2017-18 global ending stocks for wheat, corn and soybeans.

The USDA is scheduled to release the report on Tuesday, April 10, at 12 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT).

Reuters surveys analysts for their expectations of what the USDA will report, and for the analysts' own estimates, which can differ from the government's projections. Reuters publishes these sets of numbers separately.

The marketing year for wheat begins on June 1 and ends on May 31. For corn and soybeans, the marketing year begins on Sept. 1 and ends on Aug. 31.

NOTE: All figures are listed in millions of tonnes:

 

PREDICTING USDA:

Wheat

Corn

Soy

Average trade estimate

268.16

197.29

92.95

Highest trade estimate

270.00

202.00

96.00

Lowest trade estimate

266.50

191.50

91.00

USDA March

268.89

199.17

94.40

Agrivisor

268.50

198.50

93.50

Allendale Inc

269.11

199.92

92.40

Brugler Marketing

268.00

198.00

93.00

ED&F Man

270.00

201.00

92.00

Futures International

269.20

195.70

92.00

INTL FCStone

266.80

191.50

91.20

Lakefront Futures

268.90

199.19

94.35

MaxYield Cooperative

266.50

194.00

91.40

McKeany-Flavell

268.10

196.30

91.60

Northstar Commodity

268.00

194.00

91.00

Prime AG

269.00

202.00

96.00

Risk Management Commodities

267.60

198.80

94.10

The Hueber Report

267.50

195.00

93.40

U.S. Commodities

268.50

198.00

93.00

Zaner Ag Hedge

266.70

197.40

95.30

 

ANALYSTS' OWN ESTIMATES:

Wheat

Corn

Soy

Average trade estimate

268.22

196.52

93.01

Highest trade estimate

270.00

199.20

94.35

Lowest trade estimate

266.50

191.50

91.00

USDA March

268.89

199.17

94.40

ADM Investor Services

268.40

193.20

91.00

Brugler Marketing

268.00

198.00

93.00

Doane Advisory Services

270.00

195.00

94.00

Farm Futures

269.20

199.00

93.00

INTL FCStone

266.80

191.50

91.20

Lakefront Futures

269.00

199.20

94.35

MaxYield Cooperative

266.50

196.00

93.40

Risk Management Commodities

267.60

198.80

94.10

U.S. Commodities

268.50

198.00

93.00

 

(Reporting by Julie Ingwersen)

 

 

 

RPT-POLL-Trade estimates for USDA April U.S. grain end-stocks - Reuters News

10-Apr-2018 08:52:49 PM

Repeats April 5 item with no changes to text

- The following are analysts' estimates for 2017-18 U.S. ending stocks for wheat, corn and soybeans ahead of the April crop supply/demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

The USDA is scheduled to release the report on Tuesday, April 10, at 12 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT).

Reuters surveys analysts for their expectations of what the USDA will report, and for the analysts' own estimates, which can differ from the government's projections. Reuters publishes these sets of numbers separately.

The marketing year for wheat begins on June 1 and ends on May 31. For corn and soybeans, the marketing year begins on Sept. 1 and ends on Aug. 31.

NOTE: All figures are listed in billions of bushels.

 

PREDICTING USDA:

Wheat

Corn

Soy

Average trade estimate

1.036

2.189

0.574

Highest trade estimate

1.060

2.265

0.625

Lowest trade estimate

0.989

2.067

0.545

USDA March

1.034

2.127

0.555

Agrivisor

1.034

2.202

0.560

Allendale Inc

1.060

2.184

0.575

Brugler Marketing

1.060

2.228

0.625

DC Analysis

1.034

2.177

0.545

ED&F Man

1.059

2.177

0.580

Futures International

1.051

2.167

0.560

Grain Service Corp

0.989

2.067

0.560

INTL FCStone

1.060

2.265

0.609

Lakefront Futures

1.040

2.126

0.555

MaxYield Cooperative

1.010

2.240

0.585

McKeany-Flavell

1.040

2.177

0.575

Northstar Commodity

1.025

2.167

0.580

Price Futures Group

1.034

2.177

0.555

Prime AG

1.034

2.227

0.605

Risk Management Commodities

1.030

2.200

0.575

Sid Love Consulting

1.034

2.227

0.565

The Hueber Report

1.025

2.175

0.570

U.S. Commodities

1.039

2.197

0.550

Vantage RM

1.039

2.250

0.570

Zaner Ag Hedge

1.021

2.152

0.588

 

ANALYSTS' OWN ESTIMATES:

 

Wheat

Corn

Soy

Average trade estimate

1.038

2.207

0.577

Highest trade estimate

1.080

2.340

0.650

Lowest trade estimate

1.000

2.100

0.520

USDA March

1.034

2.127

0.555

ADM Investor Services

1.034

2.227

0.540

Brugler Marketing

1.060

2.228

0.650

DC Analysis

1.034

2.177

0.520

Doane Advisory Services

1.063

2.222

0.550

Farm Futures

1.033

2.119

0.582

INTL FCStone

1.060

2.265

0.609

Lakefront Futures

1.035

2.121

0.555

MaxYield Cooperative

1.010

2.340

0.630

R.J. O'Brien

1.080

2.247

0.573

Risk Management Commodities

1.025

2.100

0.565

U.S. Commodities

1.039

2.197

0.550

Vantage RM

1.025

2.300

0.580

Zaner Ag Hedge

1.000

2.150

0.600

 

(Reporting by Sumita Layek and Vijaykumar Vedala in Bengaluru)

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