Tuesday, December 4, 2012

20121204 1126 Soy Oil & Palm Oil Related News.

Soybean Complex Market Recap (CME)
January Soybeans finished up 15 at 1453 3/4, 9 off the high and 11 3/4 up from the low. March Soybeans closed up 15 3/4 at 1448 1/4. This was 12 1/4 up from the low and 6 3/4 off the high.
December Soymeal closed up 2.8 at 445.2. This was 2.7 up from the low and 4.1 off the high.
December Soybean Oil finished up 0.49 at 49.9, 0.39 off the high and 0.5 up from the low.
January soybeans saw double digit gains into the closing bell on strong product demand and impressive export data which helped to support the move higher. Strong PMI data by China along with thoughts that the Chinese might be big buyers of US soybeans in the month of December favored the bull camp to start the week. The weather in Brazil remains mostly favorable this week and the heavy rain in Argentina may shift corn acreage over to soybeans. Both could be slightly negative to prices in the long term. Argentina soybean planting was seen at 58% complete vs. 66% last year. Brazil planting is estimated at 86% complete vs. 76% last week and against 93% last year. Soybean futures saw a boost from another positive export inspections report. Inspections for the week ending November 29th were reported at 51 million bushels vs. 45.5 last week and only 19 million bushels are needed each week to reach this crop years USDA export estimate. The cumulative shipment pace for this crop year is now 45% of the USDA estimate vs. the 5 year average of 33%. The strong demand pace continues to offer support to the price outlook but favorable weather in South America is helping to offset.

EDIBLE OIL: Malaysian palm oil futures tumbled to a three-week low as investors booked profits on expectations of record stocks last month and after strong Chinese economic data lifted markets. (Reuters)

VEGOILS-Palm oil falls to 3-week low on prospects of record stocks
Mon Dec 3, 2012 6:19am EST
    * Palm oil prices post biggest fall since Nov. 12
    * Investors use high stocks to book profits -trader
    * Global commodity markets rise on stronger China factory data
    * Palm oil to end rebound around 2,422 ringgit -technicals

 (Updates prices, adds detail)
    By Anuradha Raghu
    KUALA LUMPUR, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
tumbled to a three-week low on Monday as investors booked
profits on expectations of record stocks last month and after
strong Chinese economic data lifted markets.
    Palm oil prices initially inched higher in early trading
hours buoyed by signs of China's economic revival which fuelled
hopes of stronger commodity demand. Later on in the day, the
market posted its biggest fall since Nov. 12 as traders unwound
    "This is a headache, the market is dropping quite a bit.
Investors are using the high stocks level to book profits," said
a trader with a foreign brokerage, estimating stocks could go
beyond the record 2.5 million tonnes notched in October.
   "In reality, palm oil is at a $350 per tonne discount to
soyoil and that should kick in some demand (and lift the
markets)," he added.
    Palm oil futures are set to post their worst annual
performance this year since the financial crisis struck in 2008
as high stocks, flagging demand and deepening euro zone debt
crisis curbed risk taking.
    The benchmark February contract on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell as much as 2.4 percent to
2,313 ringgit ($760) per tonne before settling at 2,317 ringgit.
    Total traded volumes stood at 30,926 lots of 25 tonnes each,
higher than the usual 25,000 lots as investors actively booked
    Palm oil is expected to end its current rebound, based on a
presumption that the fall from the Nov. 20 high of 2,485 ringgit
has not been completed, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.

    Traders said investors were trying to bring the market down
to 2,300 ringgit, after which there was likely to be rebound.
    Other global financial markets were still up on a clutch of
factory surveys on China showing evidence of an economic revival
after seven quarters of slowing growth that signals stronger
commodity demand from the world's second largest
    China's encouraging revival supported Brent crude, which
held around $111 per barrel on Monday, although gains were
limited by concern about the economic welfare of the United
States, the world's top oil consumer.
    Stronger buying from Europe and India lifted Malaysian palm
oil exports in November compared to a month ago, according to
data from cargo surveyors.
    Based on this, some traders are holding out for signs of
higher demand, coupled with seasonally weaker palm oil output in
Malaysia that could limit the growth of this Southeast Asian
country's stocks.
    Production tends to slow down in the year-end as heavy rains
can trigger floods that disrupt harvesting and complicate
    "Previously we were talking about Dec-Jan stocks hitting 3
million tonnes, but I don't think that will materialize," said
another trader. "Instead of going up, stocks could drop down by
at least 50,000 tonnes because of demand from Europe and China".
    In palm oil's competing markets, U.S. soyoil for December
delivery rose 0.8 percent. The most active May 2013
soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange
climbed 1.4 percent in late Asian trade.
    In a sign of festival demand, Chinese soy buyers have
stepped up orders from the United States in recent days, keen to
purchase cargoes for delivery in the first quarter of next year,
traders said last week.
    China celebrates a one-week Lunar New Year holiday in

No comments: