Monday, February 22, 2010

20100222 1814 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2631, changed : +35 points, volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : bullish.
MACD Histrogram : resume higher, buyer still in control.
Support : 2620, 2590, 2570 level.
Resistant : 2650, 2670, 2700 level.
Comment :
FCPO opened higher and traded side way range bound within a tight 17 points range forming doji bar candle with improving volume transacted. Daily chart and indicators still suggesting for a bullish further upside potential market but the only element missing here is volume traded was comparatively lower for a sustainable upward movement and hopefully higher volume will returned to the market in the near term.
When to buy : buy at support/weakness/break out with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target

20100222 1736 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1266, changed : +14 points, volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : side way bearish biased.
MACD Histrogram : improving, short covering with buyer appetite improved.
Support : 1260, 1250, 1235 level.
Resistant : 1270, 1278, 1290 level.
Comment :
FKLI ended the day higher but closed 22 points off the high of the day forming a shooting star candle. Despite today severe upward surge movement, daily chart technical reading has yet to change and remained bearish biased with side way range bound movement likely.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20100222 1311 FKLI Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1268, changed : +16 points, volume : high.
Bollinger band reading : sentiment turned positive.
MACD Histrogram : getting higher, buyer returned to the market with short covering.
Support : 1260, middle Bollinger band, 1250 level.
Resistant : 1270, 1278, 1290 level.
Comment :
Wild FKLI opened and traded higher in tandem with Asia major market that fluctuated within a huge 29.5 point range. Hourly chart wise, the outlook turned bullish with further upside potential but the over upward extended first hourly candle of today could triggered market to consolidate side way before testing higher resistant level.

20100222 1248 FCPO Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2626, changed : +30 points, volume : low.
Bollinger band reading : upside biased.
MACD Histrogram : reversed and climb higher, buyer in charge still.
Support : 2620, 2590, 2570 level.
Resistant : 2650, 2670, 2700 level.
Comment :
Firmer soy oil futures price lead FCPO to opened and trade higher for the morning session despite weaker export data release by ITS export cargo surveyor. Technical hourly chart reading suggest that market is likely to trade side way range bound upside biased as 2620 level still supported well.

20100222 1012 Malaysia Corporate News.

Sime Darby's 2QFY10 numbers to be released this week may show more losses in the oil and gas sub-segment of its energy and utilities division, arising from one of its Qatar projects. Sources say the sub-segment is expected to make a provision of more than RM100m for the Qatar Petroleum project. The division also recently saw the earlier-thanexpected departure of its head Datuk Mohamad Shukri, who resigned in January. His post has been filled by Hisham Hamdan. (theedgeweekly)

The dry spell over Sabah that has triggered numerous farm and bush fires is expected to continue for another two months. Sabah Meteorological Department director Abdul Malik Tusin said that the dry spell in the state was due to the tail end of the Northeast monsoon that usually begins in November and ends by March.
  • I expect the dry conditions to continue till April in Sabah, he said, adding that the northeast monsoon during December and January had brought severe flooding to Sabah. ''This month, we only recorded 0.4millimetre of rainfall compared to 210mm in the whole of January (when floods hit Sabah),” he said. He said the dry spell was part of the El Nino phenomenon that was being globally felt since June. (NST) 
If prolonged, the dry spell could lead to lower-than-expected palm oil output for the country. Sabah accounted for 31% of total palm oil output in 2009.

Maybank’s subsidiary Bank Internasional Indonesia (BII) has proposed a rights issue amounting to 1.4tr rupiah (RM513m) to strengthen its balance sheet and to enable it to meet its investment and longer-term growth goals in Indonesia. The fund-raising exercise will involve the issue of 6.2bn new shares on a one-for-eight basis at 225 rupiah apiece, or at a discount of nearly 23%.
  • As the 97.5% shareholder, Maybank has agreed to subscribe to its full entitlement. Maybank said it would also take up any excess rights shares not subscribed to or renounced by other entitled shareholders.
  • The proposal is subject to BII shareholder approval. It is expected to be completed in the second quarter of the year. (Business Times) 
We see limited impact of the above as it is akin to injecting additional capital into its subsidiary, in which Maybank has a controlling stake of 97.5%. Furthermore, the RM513m additional investment only accounts for about 2% of Maybank’s shareholders’ funds. The above could even be positive if BII can beef up its loan growth and keep the credit cost low as the return on the lending business in Indonesia is more lucrative with net interest margin of 6%+ compared to only 2.3% in Malaysia.

Peninsular Malaysia and Sarawak appears to be tussling yet again for power from the soon-to-be completed 2,400MW Bakun hydroelectric dam. Sources suggested that the bone of contention is that instead of Tenaga getting power solely from Bakun, it will draw power from the Sarawak state grid. Meanwhile, another competing source for Bakun’s hydropower is plans to set up several power-guzzling aluminium smelter plants in Sarawak. (The Edge Weekly) For more details and comments, please refer to our QT on the power sector today.

The heat wave has resulted in an unprecedented spike in electricity usage with Tenaga revealing that two records were set in less than a week recently. On Feb 4, power demand stood at 14,384MW. Six days later, that record was broken when a new peak maximum demand of 14,417MW was recorded. (NST)

Malaysia expects to attract at least three more big foreign investments involved in solar energy this year. The three FDIs, averaging RM1bn each, are expected to come from the US, Japan and Europe. So far, Malaysia has attracted a few large firms like solar panel makers First Solar, Q-Cells and Sunpower.
  • Malaysian Industrial Development Authority DG Datuk Jalilah Baba said Malaysia can take the lead of being the solar hub in the Asean region. However, what is crucial is how much Tenaga would pay for solar power. (BT)
Malaysia is not destroying its forests to plant oil palm trees, said Sabah Finance Assistant Minister Datuk Tawfiq Abu Bakar Titingan. He said any allegation pertaining to it was absolutely not true because the country adopted a firm policy and forestry laws that clearly state that forest reserves should remain untouched.
  • "Our government has identified agriculture and plantation areas. The government has already gazetted those areas," he said, commenting on a campaign by Marks & Spencer against palm oil in the United Kingdom. (Bernama)
CIMB Group Holdings plans to buy a 32.2% stake in Touch N' Go (TnG) from UEM Group and UEM Builders for RM53.8m. Once completed, the deal will bring CIMB's total stake in TnG to 52.2% from 20%. UEM Group will retain a 20% stake in TnG, while MTD Capital owns the balance 27.8%t. TnG, the electronic toll collection operator, posted a net profit of RM15.6m for the FY12/09. (BT)

Alliance Bank Malaysia's lawyers have completed their assessment of the answers CEO Datuk Bridget Lai provided in an internal probe. It is now up to the board to consider the lawyers' legal advice, sources said, declining to elaborate on what the legal advice entailed. It is understood that the board will make a decision on what to do soon, either at a monthly board meeting late next month or at an earlier special meeting.
  • Lai, as well as COO Shim Kon Teck, had each been required to answer a set of questions as part of the board's probe. They provided their answers on 25 Jan, and these were then evaluated by the bank's lawyers and an independent external auditor. (BT)
Genting Group’s chairman Tan Sri Lim Kok Thay expects Resorts World Genting to have the edge over Resorts World Sentosa (RWS) because of the cool weather. Meanwhile, Lim also announced that the Genting theme park would be improved and upgraded with more exciting rides. He expressed confidence that the opening of RWS would not affect tourist arrivals at Genting Highlands as both IRs had their own attractions and strengths. (The Star)

Tiger Airways will provide a chartered aircraft that will exclusively fly foreign guests visiting Genting Singapore’s Resorts World Sentosa (RWS). Under the agreement, RWS will take over the lease of the aircraft. The plane will be staffed by pilots and cabin crew from Tiger Airways. The service is scheduled to commence late this year. (AFP)

The Baltic Dry Index stayed positive on Friday with hopes that cargo demand would pick up after China returned from holiday. The index, which gauges the cost of shipping resources including iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertiliser, rose 0.37% or 10 points to 2,714 points.
  • Brokers said there was better interest in the Pacific for vessels especially capesize ships, which typically haul 150,000 tonne cargoes such as iron ore and coal. Ship queues at ports in China and at other major terminals in Australia and Brazil remained high, helping to bolster freight rates, brokers said. 
  • Analysts said freight rates could come under pressure due to worries over the rising number of new ships set to hit the market this year, despite indications of some vessel cancellations and delays. (Reuters, BT)
Qantas Airways forecast an increase in business class fares as demand recovers after a global travel slump. "We are seeing the business market demand improve," Alan Joyce, chief executive officer of Sydney-based Qantas, told Sky News Business yesterday. "The economics will have to change and fares, particularly in business class, will have to increase. It's basic supply and demand. As you get more demand for that capacity, it brings back pricing power for the airlines," according to Joyce. (Bloomberg, BT)

The Malaysia Airlines Travel Fair 2010 (MATF’10) until March 7 is dangling attractive offers to customers including a 75% discount to 49 destinations worldwide. The travel period starts from March 24 until Jan 14 next year. MAS will also be extending these offers to its customers in Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Cambodia, Vietnam and Myanmar, where the fair will run concurrently.
  • Customers can purchase one-way air tickets to any destination in Asia; starting from as low as RM133 to Medan, RM213 (Phuket) and RM359 (Hong Kong). Those planning on flying down south can fly at only RM639 to Perth one-way, and RM1,069 to Melbourne (one-way). 
  • Customers heading to Europe can opt to fly one-way to London, Paris or Rome for only RM1,549. A trip to Bangkok will cost RM264; Beijing (RM487), Sydney (RM754) and the Gold Coast (RM816). (Star)
Felda Holdings is putting in place strategic Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects encompassing 56 biogas plants, six compost plants, one pellet plant and two independent power producer (IPP) plants nationwide. The CDM projects will use biomass waste such as empty fruit bunches (EFB) and palm oil mill effluent (POME) derived from 70 palm oil mills owned by Felda unit Felda Palm Industries Sdn Bhd (FPI).
  • FPI senior GM Mokhtar Mat Min said: “It is ideal for a big plantation operator like Felda to fully tap its abundant biomass waste and convert it into renewable green energy, which can also be a new income generating source for the group.” 
  • “Despite our focus to become a dynamic global conglomerate, we recognised the important need to be a socially responsible group practising environmentally friendly methods in every aspect of our operation,” Mokthar added. (Starbiz)
The increase in the number of broadband providers will put pressure on prices, prompting providers to focus on the quality of service to win customers over, said the Michael Lai, CEO of Packet One. "The increasing number of competitors will put pressure on margins, but we believe that customers are willing to pay for quality of service and value-added services." (Financial Daily)

Tune Talk's CEO Jason Lo dismissed rumours of a possible IPO once it achieves 1m subscribers. Tune Talk expects to achieve the target by August this year, which will be within its first year of operation. This will be achieved by boosting its distribution channels, innovative marketing and communications strategies and Web-based approach.
  • "The decision to list (on local bourse) lies in the hands of the shareholders. For the moment, there are no such plans although Celcom can increase its stake to 51% under the shareholders' agreement. 
  • "Despite the company recording some 600,000 subscribers within six months of its launch in August last year, its active subscribers are roughly 200,000 or more. (BT)
Tanjung Offshore plans to raise funds to refinance existing loans, buy new vessels and for working capital, say MD Omar Khalid. The company is looking at various financing packages to take advantage of the current low interest rate. "We have quite a few options on the table. We'd like to explore these options because the interest rate is low and it makes more economic sense in the long term," he said. (BT)

The Sunway Pyramid Shopping Mall plans to be Malaysia's biggest mall by size within the next five years as it adds two new phases to the mall. Called "SP3" and "SP4", the two phases form part of Sunway City's planned development on a 2.35ha open car park land adjacent to the existing Sunway Pyramid and the Sunway Lagoon Theme Park.
  • Currently, Sunway Pyramid has a total gross floor area of 4.5m sf and net lettable area (NLA) of 1.7m sf. CEO Sunway Group of Shopping Malls, H.C. Chan, said SP3 will see 0.5m sf added to the gross floor area of the mall.He did not say what the NLA will be, but typically 65-70% of a mall's gross floor area makes up the NLA. (BT)
Sunway Pyramid S/B, Sunway Group's retail arm that operates its flagship shopping mall Sunway Pyramid, hopes to see its pretax profit and revenue improve by at least a tenth this year, as consumers loosen their purse strings. In FY Dec-09, the mall chalked up a pre-tax profit of RM120m, from RM100m a year ago.
  • "We target about 10-12% growth in both pre-tax profit and revenue this year," its CEO H.C. Chan said. Chan's confidence stems from the positive economic trend since 4Q09, particularly in the month of December. (BT)

KPJ Healthcare will remain focused on its healthcare business and not look to pick up government concession businessess, says MD Datin Paduka Siti Sa'diah Sheikh Bakir. The company has no plans to buy foreign worker health check company Fomema Sdn Bhd from its rival Pantai Holdings.
  • Pantai Holdings is believed to be looking to sell its Malaysian government concession businesses, Pantai Medivest S/B and Fomema, to focus on growing its hospital business, according to the daily last Thursday. 
  • Fomema, which has a 15-year concession ending in 2012, was created to implement, manage and supervise nationwide mandatory health screening programme for all legal foreign workers in Malaysia. (BT)  

Friday, February 19, 2010

20100219 1835 FCPO Weekly Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2596, changed : +17 points, volume : lower.
Bollinger band reading : side way upside biased.
MACD Histrogram : rising higher, buyer still defending.
Support : 2521, middle Bollinger band, 2400 level.
Resistant : 2600, 2650, 2740 level.
Comment :
The 3 transaction days holiday mood FCPO market still managed to end slightly higher with lower volume transacted after trader reduced positions during the long holidays. Weekly chart wise, outlook remained unchanged with a side way range bound upside biased market.

20100219 1824 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2596, changed : -4 points, volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : bullish.
MACD Histrogram : getting weaker, buyer closing position.
Support : 2590, 2570, 2521 level.
Resistant : 2620, 2650, 2670 level.
Comment :
Seems like the drop in major world commodities futures market have little impact on FCPO that ended the day slightly lower with higher volume changed hand. Daily chart outlook remained unchanged with bullish biased with further upside potential.
When to buy : buy at support/weakness/break out with larger cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20100219 1802 FKLI Weekly Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1252, changed : +7.5 points, volume : lower.
Bollinger band reading : side way with slightly downside biased.
MACD Histrogram : getting lower but smaller scale, seller still in.
Support : 1250, 1232, 1200 level.
Resistant : middle Bollinger band,  1274, 1285 level.
Comment :
Not much change on the FKLI weekly chart reading that still call for a side way range bound market with some test at support and resistant level. Expecting market to consolidate further in the near term.

20100219 1728 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1252, changed : -2.5 points, volume : higher than yesterday.
Bollinger band reading : bearish side way.
MACD Histrogram : recovering higher, buyer maintaining small position.
Support : 1250, 1232, lower Bollinger band level.
Resistant : middle Bollinger band, 1260, 1267 level. Comment :
FKLI closed marginally lower with improved volume despite major Asia market ended lower severely after tested below and still managed to closed above the 1250 support level ended the day with a small 6.5 point range doji bar candle. Daily chart technical view remained bearish biased with side way range bound market likely in the near term.  
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20100219 1254 FKLI Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1248.5, changed : -6 points, volume : low.
Bollinger band reading : bearish.
MACD Histrogram : getting lower, seller return, buyer backing off.
Support : 1245, 1232, 1223 level.
Resistant : 1250, middle Bollinger band, 1260 level.
Comment :
FKLI traded lower in unison with major Asia regional market after the FED decided to raise discount rate among banks. Hourly chart development continue to show bearish reading with further downside potential for the near term.

20100219 1241 FCPO Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2590, changed : -10 points, volume : low.
Bollinger band reading : side way range bound.
MACD Histrogram : getting lower, buyer off loading position.
Support : 2570, 2550, 2521  level.
Resistant : 2590, 2620, 2650 level.
Comment :
Crude palm oil futures traded weaker in low volume following soy oil futures price dropped due to stronger US Dollar after Bernanke announced a surprise quarter-point discount rate hike. However the hourly chart of FCPO has yet to turn bearish and still trading in a side way range bound market with some testing effort at support and resistant level.

20100219 0926 Malaysia Corporate News.

Two leading luxury carmakers have questioned plans by the Government to link the petrol subsidy to engine capacity, saying such a scheme overlooks fuel efficiency and also incentives to manufacturers under the revised National Automotive Policy (NAP).
  • “As BMW Malaysia views the situation, the problem with designing a fuel subsidy programme around the engine capacity of a vehicle is that small engine capacities alone do not necessarily mean better economy,’’ said BMW Group Malaysia managing director Geoffrey Briscoe. 
  • “A new structure, merely based on engine capacity, does not solve any problem,’’ said Mercedes-Benz Malaysia. Another point Mercedes-Benz Malaysia highlighted was that the upcoming petrol subsidy scheme contravenes the revised NAP. “The NAP 2009 liberalises manufacturing passenger vehicles with engine capacity of 1,800cc and above and on the road price of not less than RM150,000,’’ it said. “The implementation of two price structures for fuel may not support this new regulation.’’
  • Datuk Mokhzani Mahathir, who is a shareholder of Porsche franchise in Malaysia, too believes the subsidy system based on engine capacity is flawed. "I think this is a dangerous precedent where consumers are penalised at the point of sales because of what they have chosen to purchase. The luxury car owner is already penalised via duties, high road tax, high insurance cost, etc,’’ he said. (Starbiz)
Work on the Gemas-Johor Baru dual tracking rail project awarded to a company from China will begin soon, said Transport Minister Datuk Seri Ong Tee Keat. “This project is a major step forward in developing the state further,” said Ong during his visit to the Segamat Inland Port. He said in order to upgrade the current railway services, the country should consider having wider tracks that would be able to accommodate high speed trains.
  • As for the Padang Besar-Johor Baru tracking project, Ong said compensation to squatters and land owners including the state governments was settled before Chinese New Year. 
  • On the Segamat Inland Port, Ong said the ministry was looking into reviving it. “We found that one of the major reasons for the closure of the port in 2006 was the management,” he said. He also added that he would be talking to businessmen in the area to gain feedback and gauge the viability of reopening the port. The cost of building the Segamat Inland Port is estimated at about RM21m. (The Star)
Alliance Bank Malaysia is close to completing its internal probe with the board meeting yesterday to discuss chief executive officer Datuk Bridget Lai’s replies to the questions posed to her as part of the probe, informed sources said. “The board has gone through Lai’s responses with legal counsel. The meeting was to deliberate on whether the answers are satisfactory,” a source said, adding that the bank might issue a statement on the outcome of the probe soon. The sources added that the board hoped to close the investigations by next month. The internal probe concerned operational matters which started with renovations done in the bank’s property department. (Starbiz)

Malaysia Airline System (MAS) along with 11 other defendants have been served with a complaint filed in the US District Court of New York on allegations of price fixing on airfreight shipping services and related surcharges. "At this juncture, no infringement has been established," said MAS. "The recently served complaint does not make any mention of the quantum of damages sought againt MAS. MAS is currently taking legal advice in relation to the complaint." (Financial Daily)

Pantai Holdings plans to sell its Malaysian government concession businesses as it seeks to focus on growing its hospital business, sources say. The group, owned by Khazanah Nasional and Singapore's Parkway Group, holds a long-term contract to provide services like laundry to public hospitals in three states and another for foreign worker health checks. It is believed that Pantai has already approached potential suitors like GLCs or government-linked investment funds for the sale. "It's hospitals that they can add value to, there's not much value to add for concessions," said one source. (BT)

There is no issue of Permodalan Nasional Bhd (PNB) holding equities of PLCs static, says president and group CEO Tan Sri Hamad Kama Piah Che Othman when asked to comment on calls for PNB to reduce its stakes in PLCs to increase market liquidity. PNB holds equities in 300 listed and non-listed companies, including heavyweights like Maybank and Sime Darby. (Bernama)

Newly appointed CIMB Thai chairman, Chakramon Phasukvanich, has set three priorities towards laying a stronger foundation for the bank and achieving a better result this year – i) reduce Non-Performing Loans (NPLs), ii) find a niche market for SME customers and iii) expand the bank's operation into Indo-China. "Coupled with the dual listing, the bank is projected to make a better profit by end of this year," he added. (Bernama)

Telenor Connexion AB, a wholly-owned unit of Telenor ASA, is in talks with Malaysian carmakers, including Proton Holdings, to offer its machine-to-machine (M2M) service. "We have engaged talks with Proton, we are still in early stage of negotiations," said Telenor Connexion global business development executive (automotive) Per Lindberg. The company is also in talks with Indian carmakers. (BT)

The finance ministry of India has said it is keen on the 3G auction in the current fiscal itself, but it is not yet counting for the proceeds from the auction in the current financial year, indicating a somewhat lower energy in the government for completing the auction before Mar 31. “We are not looking at money this year... We are not accounting for it. The auction can happen whenever the schedule permits,” said finance secretary Ashok Chawla. Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee, headed empowered group of minsiters (eGoMs), had put a target of Rs 35,000 crore from the sale of airwaves in the current fiscal. (Economic Times of India)

Khazanah Nasional has defended its decision to acquire a 10% stake in Oriental Universal City (OUCL) from Raffles Education Corp for US$44m (RM149.58m) stating that the investment fulfilled its strategic objectives and its financial returns requirement. (Malaysian Reserve)

OSK Holdings
has a new indirect subsidiary to undertake stockbroking, corporate finance, underwriting, placement and other related activities in Cambodia, after obtaining approvals from Cambodia’s Ministry of Commerce. (BT)

PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk (HM Sampoerna), a maker of 'kretek' or clove cigarettes, will shut down its operations in Kuala Lumpur by May to tap the low import duty following the implementation of the Asean Free Trade Agreement (Afta) from January this year. A spokesperson at HM Sampoerna, the subsidiary of Philip Morris International, said the implementation of the lower import duties means its factory in Malaysia is no longer viable. "Based on this fact and as part of our ongoing effort to enhance productivity and improve operational efficiency at the company, HM Sampoerna has made the decision to source products for Malaysia from Indonesia," the spokesperson said. (BT)

Tanjung Offshore’s subsidiary, Citech Energy Recovery Systems UK Ltd (CERS), has clinched a £5m (RM26.6m) contract from Solar Turbines of the US for the supply of a waste heat recovery package. The contract, involving the manufacturing, assembly, testing and delivery of the spare parts package, is expected to be completed within the next 15 months. (BT)

Sapura Resources has not decided on the sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary Sapura Auto's BMW dealership, the company said. Sapura Resources clarified that "no finalised decision on the matter has been made by the company" and that it would make the necessary announcement to the exchange when the time was right. (Financial Daily)