Thursday, March 15, 2012

20120315 0947 Soy Oil & Palm Oil Related News.

SGS CPO export up 41.9% to 701,536 tonnes for the period of 1~15 Mar 2012.
ITS CPO export up 37.1% to 697,804 tonnes for the period of 1~15 Mar 2012.

Soybeans (Source: CME)
US soybean futures end higher, boosted by concerns about tight supplies and by higher-than-expected crush data. The National Oilseed Processors Association estimated 136.4 million bushels of soybeans were crushed last month, above the average analyst estimate of 132.6 million. Traders also say a disappointing South American crop could cut into supplies and drive more purchase demand to the U.S., a factor that has driven prices up for two months. Support also comes from worries some U.S. farmers may plant corn instead of soybeans this year, leading to tight soy supplies later this year. CBOT May soybeans end up 1 1/2c at $13.50 1/4/bushel, while CBOT March contract expires, closing up 7 1/4c at $13.56 on low volume.

Soybean Meal/Oil (Source: CME)
May soymeal rises $1.10 to $367.20/short ton, and May soyoil ends down 0.07c to 54.80 cents/lb.

Palm oil at 9-mth high on exports, U.S. data
SINGAPORE, March 14 (Reuters) - Malaysian crude palm oil futures rose to a nine-month high as recovering exports raised demand prospects for the edible oil and upbeat U.S. economic data lifted investor confidence.
"Exports seemed good for the month as we see from the first ten days, we should expect higher exports this month," said a trader with a foreign brokerage in Kuala Lumpur. "Besides that, soybean oil is up and crude oil is still above $125, so these are supportive factors for palm oil."

India Feb refined palmoil imports jump, trend to continue
MUMBAI, March 14 (Reuters) - India's imports of refined palm oil more than tripled in February from a year ago as a tax change by top exporter Indonesia made refined products more attractive and the trend could continue unless New Delhi steps in with counter measures.
The share of refined palm oil in total palm oil imports in February rose to 46 percent from just 22 percent a month ago as the impact of the tax took hold, data released by the Solvent Extractors' Association of India (SEA) showed on Wednesday.

Palm Oil to Climb to Year High as Cooking-Oil Supply Drops (Bloomberg)
Palm oil, used in everything from candy bars to instant noodles, will advance 3.4 percent to the highest in more than a year by June as cooking-oil supplies drop to the lowest in more than three decades, a survey showed. The tropical oil will gain to 3,500 ringgit ($1,147) a metric ton from 3,385 ringgit at the close on the Malaysia Derivatives Exchange today, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 10 analysts and traders who attended a conference in Kuala Lumpur last week. Inventories of palm, soybean, rapeseed and six other oils will drop below 30 days of consumption this year, the fewest since 1977, U.S. Department of Agriculture data show. Global food prices rose for a second consecutive month in February on higher costs for cereals, cooking oils and sugar, as shown by the index of 55 food items tracked by the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization.
“The stocks-to-usage ratio is going to be much lower this year, so that will boost prices,” said Sandeep Bajoria, chief executive officer of Sunvin Group, a Mumbai-based commodities trader, who predicts a high of 3,700 ringgit. Futures climbed as high as 3,395 ringgit today, the most expensive since June 6. Prices have gained 6.6 percent this year compared with a 0.9 percent advance in the Standard & Poor’s GSCI Agriculture Index of eight commodities. The commodity last reached 3,500 ringgit in March last year. Mistry, Coleman
The UN food index increased 1.2 percent in February from a month earlier and the gauge of edible oils and fats rose 2.1 percent. The cost of food may remain near current levels in coming months as demand drains increased supply, Abdolreza Abbassian, a senior FAO economist, said March 8. The edible oil may climb to a four-year high of 4,000 ringgit ($1,310) by June and then drop to $1,150 to $1,200 on a free-on-board basis, according to Dorab Mistry, director at Godrej International Ltd., who has traded the commodity for three decades. Michael Coleman, managing director at Aisling Analytics Pte, said last month the price may climb to $1,300. While global palm-oil output is set to increase 2.3 million tons this year, that won’t be enough to counter lower production of other oils including soybean and rapeseed, Thomas Mielke, executive director Oil World, said March 7. Global soybean production may drop by 20 million tons to 245.53 million tons after drought hurt crops in South America, he said.

Malaysia, Indonesia
Palm oil output in Malaysia, the second-biggest grower, is expected to climb to 19.4 million tons this year from a record 18.9 million tons in 2011, according to the Malaysian Palm Oil Board. From March, output each month will be less on a year-on- year comparison due to a low output cycle, leading to “flat” growth of as much as 19 million tons in 2012, Mistry estimates. Production in Indonesia, the largest grower, will increase by about 1.4 million tons to 26.5 million tons in 2012, he said. With crude oil trading above $100 a barrel and signs that the U.S and European Union economies are stabilizing, palm oil may climb as more investors buy commodities, said Bajoria. “There is so much liquid money throughout the world, through the hedge funds and the new money injected via the European central bank,” he said. “The money travels to the destinations where the best returns can come.”

Palm oil will advance 3.2% to the higher in more than a year by June as cooking-oil supplies drop the lowest in more than three decades, a survey showed. The tropical oil will gain to RM3,500 a tonne on the Malaysia Derivative Exchange, according to the median estimate in Bloomberg survey of 10 analyst and traders. (Bloomberg)

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