Monday, November 29, 2010

20101129 1823 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 3381, changed : +107 points, volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : upside biased.
MACD Histrogram : recovering, seller closing position.
Support : 3350, 3300 3270 3100 level.
Resistant : 3420, 3450, 3470 level.
Comment :
Weather concern and anticipate of a better export data release tomorrow lead FCPO to rallied recorded substantial gain with higher volume transacted plus market participant focus on the 3 days Bali 6th Indonesia Palm Oil Conference starting from 1st Dec. Daily chart formed a wide range up bar candle rebounding from the middle Bollinger band support level as the reading suggesting further upside biased potential market development.
When to buy : buy at support and weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20101129 1736 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1497, changed : +14.5 point,  volume : lower.
Bollinger band reading : side way range bound.
MACD Histrogram : turned upward, seller reducing position.
Support : 1485, 1470, 1458 level.
Resistant : 1500, 1530, 1550 level.
Comment :
Wild market FKLI opened and tested lower support level and recovered surging upward recorded huge gain with lower volume transacted as market opened on concern of a potential Korean war follows by news of Irish bailout plus a firmer Taiwan China political environment after Taiwan’s ruling party Kuomintang won three of five seats in mayoral elections, signifying support for President Ma Ying-jeou’s pro-China policies.
Daily chart formed a longer lower shadow wide body up doji bar candle rebounding upward after tested lower Bollinger band level with the reading suggesting a consolidation side way range bound market development.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20101129 1011 Global Economics News.

Singapore: Industrial output growth quickens on pharmaceuticals
Singapore’s industrial production rose at the fastest pace in five months as pharmaceutical output surged, offsetting slower growth in electronics manufacturing. Manufacturing, which accounts for about a quarter of the economy, climbed 31% in October from a year earlier, after a revised 26.8% increase in September, the Economic Development Board said in a statement. (Bloomberg)

Ireland: Wins EUR85bn aid; Germany drops threat on bonds
European governments threw debt-strapped Ireland an EUR85bn (USD113bn) lifeline and scaled back proposals to saddle bondholders with losses in future budget crises, seeking to reverse the market selloff menacing the EUR. European finance ministers backed a Franco-German compromise on post-2013 bailouts that watered down calls by German Chancellor Angela Merkel for investors to be forced to take losses to share the cost with taxpayers. (Bloomberg)

Germany: Inflation accelerates more than economists forecast
Inflation in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, accelerated more than economists forecast in November after food and energy prices rose. The inflation rate, calculated using a harmonized European method, increased to 1.6% from 1.3% in October, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said. Economists predicted a gain to 1.4%, according to the median of 21 estimates in a survey. In the month, prices rose 0.1%. (Bloomberg)

Greece: Wins EU pledge for 4 1/2-year extension to repay bailout
Greece is set to get an extra four- and-a-half years to repay emergency loans to match the seven- year term for the rescue Ireland received. Greece got a three-year aid package in May of EUR110bn (USD146bn) from the Euro area and the International Monetary Fund to prevent a debt default. Ireland won an EUR85bn package for seven-and-a-half years at a meeting where European finance ministers said they would “rapidly examine the necessity of aligning the maturities of the financing for Greece to that of Ireland.” (Bloomberg)

US: Payrolls, manufacturing probably expanded
Payrolls and manufacturing probably expanded in November as the US recovery showed signs of a pickup heading into 2011, economists said before reports this week. Employment increased by 145,000 workers this month after a 151,000 gain in October that marked the biggest advance since May, according to the median forecast of 67 economists surveyed ahead of Labor Department data on 3 December. (Bloomberg)

20101129 1009 Malaysia Corporate News.

SPNB awards RM1.7bn jobs for LRT extension
Syarikat Prasarana Negara Bhd (SPNB) has awarded contracts worth RM1.7bn for the first phase (Package A) of the RM7bn light rail transit (LRT) extension project involving the Kelana Jaya and Ampang lines. In a statement last Friday, SPNB, which was established by the Finance Ministry to facilitate, undertake and expedite infrastructure projects for the Government, said the main contractor facilities job for Package A of the Kelana Jaya line, valued at RM950m, was awarded to Trans Resources Corp Bhd. The work will take 30 months to complete. UEM Builders Bhd and Intria Bina SB were jointly appointed the nominated sub-contractors for the fabrication and delivery of segmental box girder jobs worth RM93.16m, which is expected to take 21 months to complete. Package A of the Kelana Jaya line will be a 9.2km extension from the Kelana Jaya station to Summit (Station 7). Package B will involve a 7.8km extension from Station 7 to the Putra Heights station. (StarBiz)

Ireka unit clinches RM233m contract
Ireka Corp Bhd, via wholly-owned unit Ireka Engineering & Construction SB, has secured a RM232.75m contract for the proposed development of offices and a hotel in Kuala Lumpur. It told Bursa Malaysia last Friday that Ireka Engineering had received a letter of intent from Transmission Technology SB for the project. The development would involve architectural and mechanical and electrical works for two basement levels and the 13-level podium, as well as 27-storey and 37-storey office towers, it added. (StarBiz)

HLB deadline for EON Cap extended
Hong Leong Bank Bhd (HLB) told Bursa Malaysia that it had extended the deadline for EON Capital Bhd (EON Cap) to accept its offer to acquire the entire assets and liabilities to 31 April 2011, from Tuesday tomorrow. This will be the second time the deadline has been extended. The deadline had earlier been extended from 15 Aug. HLB is embroiled in an ongoing court battle prolonging its merger with EON Cap. In April, HLB made an offer of RM7.30 per share to assume all the assets and liabilities of EON Cap. Primus (M) SB a unit of Hong Kongbased investment company Primus Pacific Partners and the single largest shareholder with a 20.2% stake in EON Cap was against the idea, claiming HLB's offer was too low. Primus had paid RM9.55 per EON Cap share when it bought into the bank in 2007. (StarBiz)

Jimah Energy plans listing
Independent power producer Jimah Energy Ventures SB is planning to go public in what could be one of the bigger initial public offerings (IPO) of 2011. A merchant banker has been hired but there are many details yet to be finalised. "The listing is targeted for mid-2011 but there are details to be sorted out including the name the listed company will carry," its chairman Tunku Naquiyuddin Tuanku Ja'afar said. He expects Jimah to raise "hundreds of million ringgit" from the IPO. "A lot of the funding is by project financing and we just need a capital base," he said, adding that the equity portion could be about 30%. "The reason we are listing is because we have been invited by the Energy Commission to bid for an additional 1,000 megawatts (MW)," Tunku Naquiyuddin told Business Times in an interview. (BT)

Potential beneficiaries of second 1000MW coal plant
A number of construction player stand to benefit from the proposal for a second 1000MW coal-fired power plant as part of the ongoing plan to meet the country’s growing power needs. It was reported last week that the Energy Commission had requested for proposals from two power plant operators for an additional 1000MW coal-fired plant. According to the Energy Commission’s chairman Tan Sri Ahmad Tajuddin Mohd Ali. The requests were made to two independent power producers (IPPs). One was made to Tanjung Bin Power Plant, run by Malakoff Bhd, which is under MMC Corp Bhd while the other to Jimah Power, which is owned by Jimah Energy Ventures SB. (Financial Daily)

20101129 1005 Global Market News.

Oil approaches two-week high on Ireland rescue
SINGAPORE, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Oil rose past $84 after the European Union approved a rescue for Ireland and  outlined a permanent system to resolve the euro zone's debt  crisis, providing some confidence that energy demand growth  will remain resilient next year.
"The southern European sovereign debt crisis would have to  take a severe turn for the worse to derail positive commodity  price trends that are finding strong support from improving  fundamentals and positive market sentiment towards growth  assets" following the second wave of U.S. expansionary  monetary policy, Barclays Capital analysts, including Kevin  Norrish, said in a report on Monday.

U.S. wheat climbs to 1-week top, corn rises 1 pct
SINGAPORE, Nov 29 (Reuters)- - Chicago wheat rose 1.6  percent to its highest in more than a week, drawing  support form dry weather hurting crops in parts of the U.S.  wheat belt, while corn futures bounced 1 percent, buoyed by  strong global demand.
"We are certainly looking at what is happening with the  weather around the world, the poor crop conditions in the hard  red winter wheat belt in the United States continues to raise  concerns," said Luke Matthews, a commodity strategist at  Commonwealth Bank in Sydney.

Argentina soy planting makes patchy progress - govt
BUENOS AIRES, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Showers in Argentine agricultural regions have allowed farmers to restart 2010/11 soy seeding, but dryness in part of the farm belt delayed planting in some areas, the government said on Friday.
Argentina is the world's No. 3 soybean supplier and the government has forecast soy area at 18.65 million hectares (46.08 million acres), slightly above last season.

Gold bounces from lows; jewellers buy
SINGAPORE, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Gold rebounded after an early drop spurred buying from jewellers in Asia, but  further gains could be limited by a rally in the U.S. dollar  amid persistent euro zone debt concerns.
"For today, I would look at support for gold at about  $1,350. However, I think if we see a breach of this level,  then we could see gold retreating further," said Ong Yi Ling,  investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.   

OIL: Crude rises on Ireland rescue
SINGAPORE, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Oil rose to $84 on Monday  after the European Union approved a rescue for Ireland and  outlined a permanent system to resolve the euro zone's debt  crisis, instilling some confidence that energy demand growth  will remain resilient next year.
Finance ministers from the 16-nation euro zone, anxious  to prevent market contagion engulfing Portugal and Spain,  unanimously endorsed an emergency loan package of 85 billion  euros ($115 billion) to help Dublin cover bad bank debts and  bridge a huge budget deficit.

COMMODITY MARKETS: Most markets dip in thin trade; cotton, soy tumble
NEW YORK, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Oil and metals closed slightly lower on Friday as U.S. markets drifted after Thursday's Thanksgiving holiday but cotton tumbled and soybeans also saw steep losses as the dollar hit a two-month high against the
euro.
"It was a relatively strong performance for crude, given the rally in the dollar and the slip in the S&P (500 stock index)," Tim Evans, energy analyst at Citi Futures Perspective in New York.

GLOBAL MARKETS: Euro bounces on Irish deal, but doubts abound
SYDNEY, Nov 29 (Reuters) - The embattled euro crept off  two-month lows on Monday after European authorities tried to  protect the region's financial stability by agreeing to lend  debt-soaked Ireland 85 billion euros.    
"The package is pretty much what most would have  anticipated, so it's not a surprise to anyone," said Greg  Gibbs, strategist at RBS in Sydney.

Bunds rise on periphery worry; Spanish yields up
LONDON, Nov 26 (Reuters) - German government bond yields fell on Friday while those of Portuguese and Spanish bonds rose on mounting anxiety over where the euro zone crisis might spread to next.
Spanish and Portuguese bonds underperformed with Portugal's 10-year yield spreads over Bunds widening by 15 basis points to 468 bps after the Financial Times Deutschland reported that the majority of euro zone states and the European Central Bank were urging Portugal to apply for a financial bailout.

FUND VIEW-Hedge fund Mulvaney backs commodities bull run
LONDON, Nov 25 (Reuters) - The recent downturn in commodity prices is likely to prove a blip in a longer-term bull run, according to Mulvaney Capital, one of the top-performing hedge funds in recent months.
Paul Mulvaney, chief executive of $160 million hedge fund firm Mulvaney Capital Management, said his computer-driven fund had cut back exposure during this month's setback in commodity markets but was still positioned for further gains.

Commodity currencies look shaky before year-end
LONDON, Nov 25 (Reuters) - Commodity-linked currencies will be vulnerable to a sell-off as concerns about a slowdown in emerging Asia encourage investors to pare their exposure to risk and cut over-extended long positions before year-end.
The growth-linked Australian, Canadian and New Zealand dollars, which earlier this month began to fall from recent highs, are particularly sensitive to concerns China may slow as a result of policy measures aimed at curbing inflation.

PRECIOUS-Gold steady; eyes $1,400/oz on Europe, Korea worries
SINGAPORE, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Gold was steady on Friday,  trading just shy of $1,400 an ounce, underpinned by anxiety of  Europe's debt situation and geo-political tensions in Asia.
Spot gold  edged lower 0.2 percent to $1,371.65 an  ounce by 0537 GMT, trading below its all-time high around  $1,424 struck in early November.

FOREX-Euro hits fresh 2-mth low as periphery worry grows
LONDON, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a fresh two-month low against a resurgent dollar on Friday as mounting speculation that Portugal will need to follow Ireland in seeking financial aid further unsettled nervous investors.
The Australian dollar tumbled after the Australian central bank quashed chances of an imminent rate hike and the yen hit a seven-week low against the dollar, with fresh sabre-rattling by North Korea helping the U.S. currency.

U.S. wheat up on weather concerns, soy slips
SINGAPORE, Nov 26 (REUTERS) - Chicago wheat futures gained  around half a percent, rising for a second straight  day as poor rains in the United States and China's producing  areas supported the market, while soybeans fell 0.4 percent,  pressured by a stronger dollar.
"There is no change in weather situation as it continues  be dry in the U.S. and people are starting to be a bit  concerned about dryness in China," said Brett Cooper, a senior  manager of markets at FCStone Australia.

Euro falls to 2-month low; Asia stocks slide
HONG KONG, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a two-month  low, with Europe's fiscal problems looking more  likely to spread than be solved in the near term, while the  looming year-end kept many equity investors eager to take  profits, weighing on Asian stock markets.
"Recent purchases done by foreign investors are not simply  short covering but I think fresh funds are being poured into Japanese shares. More follow-through buying could drive up  shares prices further," Nagayuki Yamagishi, a strategist at  Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities in Tokyo.

U.S. oil stays near $84; Europe, China concerns linger
SINGAPORE, Nov 26 (Reuters) - U.S. oil held steady near  $84, paving the way for its first weekly rise in  three weeks, although ongoing concerns about a wider debt  crisis in Europe and Chinese inflation continued to weigh in  post-holiday thin trade.
"We know the IMF will back loans to Ireland but we don't  know how it will be implemented," Taylor said, adding that the  focus may also turn to Portugal's debts as interest rates for  its bonds have risen sharply.

US dollar up; Asia stocks slip on profit taking
HONG KONG, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar steadied, as traders girded for a break above tough chart  obstacles on Europe's fiscal problems, while the looming year  end kept many equity investors eager to take profits, weighing  on Asian stock markets.
The Australian dollar slid after the head of the country's  central bank said interest rates were about right for the near  term, extinguishing speculation the currency's yield advantage  would get a policy boost in the next few months.

20101129 0951 Soy Oil & Palm Oil Related News.

Palm slips on stronger dollar, weather concerns cap loss
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil  futures slipped as a stronger dollar prompted some  profit taking although concerns over monsoon rains hurting  output curbed losses.
"Palm oil is just drawing back a little on profit taking  because of the stronger dollar and since the market rose a  little too high the day before," said a trader with a local  commodities brokerage.

Palm prices face pressure in 2011 from output, soy-analyst
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil should  fall to 2,600 ringgit ($830) by June 2011 on higher output in  Southeast Asia and a decent soy crop but the pace of decline  will be slower than the market expects, thanks to unusually  low stocks, a key analyst said on Friday.
The forecast by LMC Chairman James Fry represents a fall  of 20.6 percent from current palm oil futures , which  closed at 3,276 ringgit per tonne on Thursday, and takes into  account palm oil's higher than usual premium over diesel.

China sells 70 pct of 100,000 T rapeseed oil reserves
BEIJING, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The Chinese government sold 70,300 tonnes, or 70 percent of 100,000 tonnes of rapeseed oil reserves offered, at a weekly state auction, according to bidding results posted on a government website.
Beijing restricted bidding of the edible oil to some big companies, which are required to sell the oil to retail markets.

Argentina soy crop seen at 49.5 mln T- Rosario
BUENOS AIRES, Nov 25 (Reuters) - Argentina's 2010/11 soy output is estimated at 49.5 million tonnes, below other estimates for the season as concern grows over the La Nina weather anomaly, the Rosario grains exchange said on Thursday.
Argentina is the No. 3 global exporter of soybeans and the top supplier of soymeal and soyoil. The exchange said a record 18.7 million hectares will be dedicated to the crop, inching up from the 2009/10 season.

Paraguay soy farmers look to new lands, technology
ASUNCION, Nov 25 (Reuters) - Paraguay's soy output has almost doubled over the last decade, but farmers say further growth will mean expanding into less fertile lands or unruly northern areas better known for illegal marijuana plantations.
Growers in the poor South American country are looking at expanding the soy-farming frontier and boosting crop technology to meet demand from a nascent soy-crushing industry without reducing exports of uncrushed beans.

China sells 70 pct of 100,000 T rapeseed oil reserves
BEIJING, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The Chinese government sold 70,300 tonnes, or 70 percent of 100,000 tonnes of rapeseed oil reserves offered, at a weekly state auction, according to bidding results posted on a government website.
Beijing restricted bidding of the edible oil to some big companies, which are required to sell the oil to retail markets.

Argentina soy crop seen at 49.5 mln T- Rosario
BUENOS AIRES, Nov 25 (Reuters) - Argentina's 2010/11 soy output is estimated at 49.5 million tonnes, below other estimates for the season as concern grows over the La Nina weather anomaly, the Rosario grains exchange said on Thursday.
Argentina is the No. 3 global exporter of soybeans and the top supplier of soymeal and soyoil. The exchange said a record 18.7 million hectares will be dedicated to the crop, inching up from the 2009/10 season.