Friday, February 18, 2011

20110218 1823 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 3683, changed : -38 points, volume : lower.
Bollinger band reading : side way range bound potentially testing lower support.
MACD Histrogram : getting lower, seller adding position.
Support : 3650, 3620, 3550 level.
Resistance : 3700, 3720, 3750 level.
Comment :
Wild swing market FCPO continue to closed weaker recorded loss with lower volume traded as traders eye on possible China import tax move and ahead of next Monday export data while soy oil trading lower after overnight closed recorded substantial gains.
Daily chart formed a wide body down doji bar candle as seller seems more aggressive to gain control with the reading still suggesting a side way range bound market development potentially testing lower support near lower Bollinger band level.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20110218 1754 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1517.5 changed : 15 points,  volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : correction range bound downside biased.
MACD Histrogram : recovering, seller reducing position.
Support : 1515, 1500, 1485 level.
Resistance : 1530, 1540, 1550 level.
Comment :
On par with cash market FKLI closed recorded gains with better volume transacted while regional market closed mostly higher except for Shanghai and Australia exchange.
Daily chart formed an up bar candle closed near middle Bollinger band resistance level with an unchanged correction range bound downside biased market reading.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20110218 0932 Local & Global Economic Related News.

Malaysia: Robust growth for the country
The Malaysian economy grew by more than 6% in 2010 and the country could post moderate growth this year with a calm global environment, said Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak. Malaysia's GDP surged 10.1% in the first quarter, followed by 8.9% in the second quarter and 5.3% in the third quarter. Bank Negara Malaysia will release the fourth quarter details today. (BT)

Singapore: Raises inflation forecast on record growth
Singapore raised its inflation and export forecasts for 2011 after the economy expanded at a record pace last year, sustaining pressure on the central bank to allow greater currency appreciation. Consumer prices may climb as much as 4% this year while exports may rise 10%, the trade ministry said. The economy expanded a revised 14.5% in 2010, with gross domestic product growing an annualized 3.9% in the three months to 31 Dec from the previous quarter, it said. (Bloomberg)

China: Foreign investment rose 23.4% in January
Foreign direct investment in China climbed in January, adding to record inflows last year that are complicating Premier Wen Jiabao’s efforts to tame inflation in the world’s fastest-growing major economy. Investment rose 23.4% to USD10bn last month from a year earlier, the Ministry of Commerce said. Estimates of four economists surveyed ranged from an increase of 10% to 23%. (Bloomberg)

US: Fed tells banks to test capital for recession
The Federal Reserve ordered the 19 largest US banks to test their capital levels against a scenario of renewed recession with unemployment rising above 11%, said two people with knowledge of the review. The banks stress-tested the performance of their loans, securities, earnings, and capital against at least three possible economic outcomes as part of a broader capital-planning exercise. The banks, including some seeking to increase dividends cut during the financial crisis, submitted their plans last month. The Fed will finish its review in March. (Bloomberg)

US: Consumer prices rise more than forecast
Rising global demand for food and fuel pushed up the US cost of living more than forecast in January, a sign the risk of a damaging drop in prices is ebbing. The consumer-price index advanced 0.4% for a second month, led by the biggest increase in food costs in more than two years, according to figures from the Labor Department. Other reports showed manufacturing is bolstering the expansion, and consumer confidence is being buffeted by rising household expenses. (Bloomberg)

US: Index of leading economic indicators climbs 0.1%
The index of US leading indicators rose in January for the seventh straight month, signaling the expansion will extend into this year. The Conference Board’s gauge of the outlook for the next three to six months increased 0.1% after rising 0.8% in December, the New York-based group said. The median forecast of economists surveyed was for a 0.2% gain. (Bloomberg)

U.S: Loans in foreclosure tie record as lenders delay seizures. A record share of U.S. mortgages were in the foreclosure process at the end of 2010, matching the all-time high, as lenders and servicers delayed home seizures to investigate charges of improper documentation. About 4.63% of loans were in foreclosure in 4Q10, up from 4.39% in the previous three months. The combined share of foreclosures and loans with overdue payments was 14%, or about one in every seven mortgages. (Source: Bloomberg)

S. Korea: Department store sales rose at the fastest pace on record in January. Outlays at the three biggest chains climbed 24% YoY in January after rising 11.6% YoY in December, the Ministry of Knowledge Economy said. It said the increase is the highest since it began compiling the data in 2005 using the current methodology. (Source: Bloomberg)

Taiwan: Economic growth slowed in 4Q10 as exports eased. GDP climbed 6.92% YoY in the three months through December, compared with a revised 10.69% YoY in the third quarter, the statistics bureau said in Taipei. (Source: Bloomberg)

Vietnam: Raises refinancing rate to 11%, joining Asian counterparts in tightening policy to curb accelerating inflation. The State Bank of Vietnam raised the rate from 9 % it said in a statement on its website. The rate was one of three that were raised on Nov. 5, when the base rate was also increased to 9%from 8%, and the discount rate was lifted to 7% from 6%. (Source: Bloomberg)  

20110218 0931 Malaysia Corporate Related News.

MRCB: To develop project with estimated GDV of RM300m. Malaysian Resources Corp Bhd (MRCB) is set to develop a luxurious high rise project with an estimated gross development value of RM300m in Jalan Kia Peng, Kuala Lumpur. The planned project will be alongside established, luxurious service residences, within the general neighbourhood of the Kuala Lumpur City Centre. (Source: The Star)

Genting Bhd: Finds gas in Indonesia. Genting Bhd's 95%-owned oil and gas unit Genting Oil & Gas Ltd is understood to have found gas from exploration at the Kasturi Block in Indonesia's Papua province. Genting's gas find has a current flow rate of 100m standard cubic feet of gas per day but further exploration was still needed to verify gas reserves in the block. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Sunway: SunCon gets RM37m contract. Sunway Holdings Bhd's wholly owned subsidiary, Sunway Construction Sdn Bhd (SunCon) has secured a RM37m contract from the Ministry of Transport for upgrading works at the Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport in Ipoh. The project is expected to commence in March. (Source: Bursa Malaysia)

Masterskill: CEO may raise his stake in company. Masterskill Education Group Bhd group CEO Datuk Seri Edmund Santhara who owns some 90.6m shares, or 22.1% stake in the company had announced his intention to deal in his securities in Masterskill. (Source: Bursa Malaysia)

Finance: Sector to grow by at least 10% this year. The finance sector, which has grown by over 10% since 2000, is expected to expand by at least 10% this year. Foreign funds which are flowing into the securities market are expected to drive the sector. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

New plan to resolve water impasse
The Government will come up with a new proposal this month to solve once and for all the water industry impasse in Selangor and the Federal Territories of Kuala Lumpur and Putrajaya. Energy, Green Technology and Water Minister Datuk Peter Chin Fah Kui said the ministry will intervene in Selangor's takeover plan of four water concession companies so that consumers will not continue to be burdened by water issues and the companies get a good deal. The four concession companies are Syarikat Bekalan Air Selangor SB (Syabas), Puncak Niaga SB, Syarikat Pengeluaran Air Sungai Selangor SB (Splash) and Konsortium Abass SB. The proposal is part of the government's effort via the National Water Services Commission to restructure and regulate the country's fragmented water industry, which was previously under the control of each state government. (BT)

NPE toll at PJ Selatan 2 cut to RM1
The toll at the Petaling Jaya Selatan 2 (PJS2) toll plaza along the New Pantai Expressway (NPE) near Kampung Medan here will be reduced from RM1.60 to RM1, effective today. This was announced by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak on Thursday. He said this was a Chinese New Year gift to the residents in the area. This is the third cut in toll rates announced by the Prime Minister since he tabled the Budget 2011 proposals last year. Meanwhile, Bernama quoted Najib as saying that the Government had promised to do the best for the people and this was one of the examples in line with the 1Malaysia concept. (The Star)

Favelle wins RM123m contract
Favelle Favco (FBB) has secured contracts to supply eight cranes worth RM123.20m. The company told Bursa Malaysia yesterday that the cranes would be delivered to eight buyers between early this year and early 2012. FBB said the contract is expected to contribute positively to its earnings and net assets for the financial year ending 31 Dec 2011 and beyond. (StarBiz)

Higher logs royalty in Sarawak
The Sarawak government has raised the single flat royalty rate on logs by 30% to RM65 per cu m from 1 Jan 2011. The single flat rate, which was introduced three years ago, was RM50 per cu m in 2008 and 2009. Last year's rate was supposed to be RM55 per cu m but it was lowered by RM5 per cu m following an appeal by the Sarawak Timber Association on grounds of poor market situation. With the latest increase of RM15 per cu m, this will generate an additional RM150m (based on 10 million cu m of logs harvested in 2010) in revenue for the Sarawak government's coffers this year. (StarBiz)

SunCon gets RM37m contract
Sunway Holdings’ wholly owned subsidiary, Sunway Construction SB (SunCon), yesterday secured a RM37.36m contract from the Ministry of Transport for upgrading works at Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport in Ipoh. Sunway said the proposed project was expected to commence in March this year with a construction period of 72 weeks. (Financial Daily)

Hock Sin Leong (HSL) faces delisting
Hock Sin Leong Group is facing a possible de-listing after failing to submit its regularization plan to the Securities Commission or Bursa Malaysia Securities for approval within the stipulated timeframe. The electrical and electronics retail player said in a filing with the exchange that trading in its securities would be suspended from 25 Feb and its securities delisted on 1 March unless it submitted an appeal to Bursa Securities by 24 Feb. (StarBiz)

20110218 0931 Global Market Related News.

Fed more confident in US recovery, unhappy on jobs
WASHINGTON, Feb 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve officials raised their forecasts for economic growth last month but remained unhappy with the job market's recovery.
Minutes of the Fed's Jan. 25-26 policy session released on Wednesday suggested the consensus was still firmly aligned with completing the planned purchase of $600 billion in government bonds. A few Fed members questioned whether continued stronger data would call for curtailing the program.

PRECIOUS-Gold draws safe-haven bid from M.East turmoil
LONDON, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Gold rose for a fourth day in a row on Thursday, in its strongest run since September, helped by a softer dollar and by the unrest spreading across the Middle East that lured investors to safe-haven assets.
Investors are closely watching the growing turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa, especially after police in Bahrain attacked demonstrators camped out in the capital, killing three, and riots broke out in Libya.

FOREX-Euro steady vs dollar; safety bid lifts Swiss franc
LONDON, Feb 17 (Reuters) - The euro was steady versus the dollar on Thursday, with solid demand at a Spanish debt auction offset by broader euro zone banking and sovereign debt concerns, while concern about tension in the Middle East lifted the Swiss franc.
Spain and France sold a combined 11.87 billion euros of debt at auctions which analysts said fared well, with a longer-dated Spanish bond notably attracting good bids as it looked cheap on the Spanish curve.

US wheat recovers on weaker dollar, firmer oil price
SYDNEY, Feb 17 (Reuters) - U.S. wheat futures rose 0.8 percent as traders took encouragement from a weaker dollar, advances in Asian stock markets, and oil prices extending gains on concerns about Middle East unrest.
"Outside markets are providing a very solid footing for agricultural products right now," said Luke Mathews, an agricultural commodities strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

World stocks hit 30-month high; oil dips
LONDON, Feb 17 (Reuters) - World stocks hit a 30-month high driven by strong corporate earnings and cautious optimism on the U.S. economy from the Federal Reserve, while oil prices eased after hitting a 28-month high the previous day.
"Many people are still optimistic about the market because the global economy is doing well and earnings for large U.S. companies have been quite good," said Heinz-Gerd Sonnenschein, equity markets strategist at Deutsche Postbank in Bonn.

20110218 0929 Soy Oil & Palm Oil Related News.

U.S. soy products rallied Thursday, following strength in soybeans amid talk that China would lower its import tax. Soymeal broke a five-day string of losses, as it corrected higher along with soybeans. Weekly exports were at the low end of expecations for both soymeal and soyoil. Rallies in corn and cotton on tight supplies helped lift ag commodities generally. March CBOT soyoil closed up 2.9% to 58.25 cents/pound and March soymeal settled up 2.3% to $372.70 per short ton. (Source: CME)

Palm hits new 3-week low on possible China tax move
JAKARTA, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures dropped to a fresh three-week low as traders grew concerned that a possible cut in taxes for a range of imported goods by China may not benefit the vegetable oil.   "Palm oil traders have been looking for an excuse to take profit from the recent rally and China's possible tax move was the trigger," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage.

Vietnam scours for soymeal, India eyes deals
SINGAPORE, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Vietnam is looking to cover nearly half a million tonnes of soymeal for April and May shipments and its traditional supplier India is expected to corner at least half of the business on competitive offers.
Feed mills in Vietnam are likely to buy some 200,000 tonnes for April and around 250,000 tonnes of May arrivals, while suppliers from India and South America are expected to aggressively negotiate deals, traders said on the sidelines of a grains conference in Singapore.

South Brazil soy belt gets break from rains—Somar
SAO PAULO, Feb 16 (Reuters) - Brazil's southern soy states and parts of No. 1 soy producer Mato Grosso are getting a breather from recent rains that are keeping the new crop on course to an expected record harvest this season.
Brazil is forecast to bring in a record 69 million to 70 million tonnes of soybean this season, and early harvesting has started in some isolated regions. The crop is fast maturing and harvest will spread rapidly this month and peak in March and April.

China soy imports under pressure from rising prices
BEIJING, Feb 16 (Reuters) - China's soy imports in March and April are seen below a year ago despite a forecast of the slowest pace in nearly a year in February when crushers shut for the Lunar New Year as high global prices hit demand.
China will import an estimated 3.13 million tonnes of soybeans in February, the Commerce Ministry said on Wednesday, hiking its forecast from 2.73 million tonnes previously, but still below March 2010 levels.