Wednesday, October 6, 2010

20101006 1817 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2730, changed : +25 points, volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : side way range bound upside biased.
MACD Histrogram : recovering, buyer returned for a match.
Support : 2720, 2700, 2670 level.
Resistant : 2750, 2770, 2800 level.
Comment :
Better volume transaction FCPO continue to surge upward recorded gain following a rebounding soy oil and other major commodities prices after Bank on Japan announcement of a lower interest rate plus weather concern. Daily chart formed an  up bar candle reaching higher heading towards the upper Bollinger band resistant level with the reading turned into suggesting a side way range bound upside biased market development.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20101006 1750 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.

FKLI last looked : 1484, changed : +9 points, volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : side way range bound little upside biased.
MACD Histrogram : recovering, buyer in control.
Support : 1470, 1458, 1445 level.
Resistant : 1485, 1500, 1530 level.
Comment :
Positive regional market development leaded FKLI to traded higher and hit new high recorded gain in better but still relatively low volume participation. Daily chart formed a doji bar candle and seems putting effort to reach the upper Bollinger band level with the reading remained side way range bound little upside biased.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20101006 1040 Global Economics News.

US stocks rally to 5-month highs on recovery hopes
US stocks rallied on Tuesday, with the Dow industrials closing within striking distance of 11,000 and at its highest level since May, as U.S. economic data and Japan’s bid to spur its economy energized Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 193.45 points to end at 10,944.72, its highest close since May 3. The blue-chip index was lifted by all but one of its 30 components, led by a 3.4% gain in shares of Boeing. (Marketwatch.com)

Khazanah to decide 'fairly quickly' on MMC proposal
Khazanah says it does not need too long to decide on MMC's proposal to take over UEM Group, which includes its cash cow PLUS Expressways. ‘We understand that the government has already received the proposal and we have had some discussions at the Khazanah board last week. In due course, we will make an announcement," managing director Tan Sri Azman Mokhtar said. He added that a decision should be made "fairly quickly" as it is a decision on an existing asset and not a proposal of a new business venture. (BT)

Suit option if Langat 2 still stalled at year-end
The federal government will consider taking legal action against the Selangor state government if construction of the Langat 2 Water Treatment Plant is still stalled at the year-end. Minister of Energy, Green Technology and Water, Datuk Seri Peter Chin Fah Kui, said that construction of the plant in Hulu Langat was already delayed. (BT)

JTI ups cigarette prices
JTI has increased the retail price of its 20-stick cigarette packs by 70 sen with effect from yesterday, following the government’s implementation of a 16% hike in excise tax. With that increase, the excise tax on cigarettes now stands 16% higher at 22 sen per stick. (Financial Daily)

IJM ups India stake in toll concessionaire
IJM is raising its stake in a contractor and its special purpose vehicle incorporated to build and operate a highway project in India. It will pay a total of RM93.4m for additional stakes in CIDB Inventures SB and Swarna Tollway Pvt Ltd in what appears to be a move to boost its presence in India. (The Malaysian Reserve)

Several parties eyeing Tanjong’s gaming business
Several international private equity firms and a consortium led by the Cheng family have expressed keen interest to acquire Tanjong Plc’s gaming business although the company is still weighing its options on whether or not to divest the prized asset valued at some RM2.3bn to RM2.5bn. Sources said many parties had approached the company directly and via banks to express their interest to acquire the gaming assets. (StarBiz)

20101006 1030 Malaysia Corporate News.

US stocks rally to 5-month highs on recovery hopes
US stocks rallied on Tuesday, with the Dow industrials closing within striking distance of 11,000 and at its highest level since May, as U.S. economic data and Japan’s bid to spur its economy energized Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 193.45 points to end at 10,944.72, its highest close since May 3. The blue-chip index was lifted by all but one of its 30 components, led by a 3.4% gain in shares of Boeing. (Marketwatch.com)

Khazanah to decide 'fairly quickly' on MMC proposal
Khazanah says it does not need too long to decide on MMC's proposal to take over UEM Group, which includes its cash cow PLUS Expressways. ‘We understand that the government has already received the proposal and we have had some discussions at the Khazanah board last week. In due course, we will make an announcement," managing director Tan Sri Azman Mokhtar said. He added that a decision should be made "fairly quickly" as it is a decision on an existing asset and not a proposal of a new business venture. (BT)

Suit option if Langat 2 still stalled at year-end
The federal government will consider taking legal action against the Selangor state government if construction of the Langat 2 Water Treatment Plant is still stalled at the year-end. Minister of Energy, Green Technology and Water, Datuk Seri Peter Chin Fah Kui, said that construction of the plant in Hulu Langat was already delayed. (BT)

JTI ups cigarette prices
JTI has increased the retail price of its 20-stick cigarette packs by 70 sen with effect from yesterday, following the government’s implementation of a 16% hike in excise tax. With that increase, the excise tax on cigarettes now stands 16% higher at 22 sen per stick. (Financial Daily)

IJM ups India stake in toll concessionaire
IJM is raising its stake in a contractor and its special purpose vehicle incorporated to build and operate a highway project in India. It will pay a total of RM93.4m for additional stakes in CIDB Inventures SB and Swarna Tollway Pvt Ltd in what appears to be a move to boost its presence in India. (The Malaysian Reserve)

Several parties eyeing Tanjong’s gaming business
Several international private equity firms and a consortium led by the Cheng family have expressed keen interest to acquire Tanjong Plc’s gaming business although the company is still weighing its options on whether or not to divest the prized asset valued at some RM2.3bn to RM2.5bn. Sources said many parties had approached the company directly and via banks to express their interest to acquire the gaming assets. (StarBiz)

20101006 0850 Global Market News.

Stocks, metals and JGBs jump on easing hopes
SINGAPORE, Oct 6 (Reuters) - Stocks, metals and Japanese government debt rose and the dollar fell after fresh monetary easing moves by the Bank of Japan spurred expectations of a new round of central bank action to boost ailing economies.
"beggar-thy-neighbour" currency wars, with International Monetary Fund chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn warning that countries risk undermining the global recovery if they use their currencies to try and boost domestic growth.

Gold hits fresh record high on dollar, stimulus hope
SINGAPORE, Oct 6 (Reuters) - Gold hit a fresh record high, the eighth in the past nine consecutive sessions, riding on dollar weakness and market anticipation on more quantitative easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
"The BoJ announcement yesterday to keep rate low signalled more QE (quantitative easing) in the market, and investors are losing interest in currencies and buying gold," said a Singapore-based dealer, expecting the next resistance level for gold at $1,350.

Oil falls on bigger-than-forecast U.S. crude stockpile gain
SINGAPORE, Oct 6 (Reuters) - Oil slipped from a five-month high after an industry report showed U.S. crude stockpiles jumped more than forecast last week, a sign oversupply may persist despite central bank efforts to shore up economies.
"It's just profit taking after a sharp rise last night," said Tetsu Emori, a fund manager at Tokyo-based Astmax Co Ltd. 

COMMODITY MARKETS: Gold at record, markets jump after Japan rate cut
NEW YORK, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Gold surged to record highs and copper to two-year peaks on Tuesday after a surprise interest rate cut by Japan weakened the dollar and reignited a broad-based commodities rally.
"Everything is just exploding on the upside," Robin Bhar, a metals analyst at Credit Agricole in London, said. "The new event really overnight was the BOJ." 

GLOBAL MARKETS: Stocks surge, dollar falls on world stimulus hope
NEW YORK, Oct 5 (Reuters) - World stocks surged to a five-month high and the U.S. dollar fell broadly on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan unexpectedly cut interest rates, fueling speculation that other governments will take additional actions to reinvigorate the global economic recovery.
"The thinking today is that the printing of money is going to take place," said Bucky Hellwig, senior vice president at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama.

Yen falls on BOJ surprise; stocks and gold rise
LONDON, Oct 5 (Reuters) - The yen fell and world stocks rose  after the Bank of Japan's surprising and aggressive action to pump more funds into the flagging economy, though gold hit a record  high on fears of long-term inflation.
"A surprise move by the Bank of Japan shows the authorities will be working hard to ensure a recovery will be supported," said Henk Potts, strategist at Barclays Wealth in London.

U.S. housing shows stability, factory orders fall
WASHINGTON, Oct 4 (Reuters) - Pending sales of previously owned U.S. homes hit a four-month high in August, a sign the housing market was stabilizing at very low levels following its sharp drop after a home-buyer tax credit expired.
Another report on Monday showed new orders received by U.S. factories fell 0.5 percent in August, although they were up 0.9 percent excluding volatile transportation bookings.

BOJ reverts to zero rates in surprise move
TOKYO, Oct 5 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan on Tuesday effectively reverted to zero interest rates on growing signs the strong yen is hurting a fragile economy, surprising markets and preceding the Federal Reserve in stepping up its expansionary monetary policy.
The central bank also decided to set up, as a temporary measure, a 5 trillion yen ($60 billion) fund to buy assets ranging from government bonds and short-term government securities to commercial paper and corporate bonds, and will also accept another 30 trillion yen of those assets as collateral under a loan scheme.

PRECIOUS-Gold hits record above $1,325/oz as dollar slides
LONDON, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Gold rallied to record highs above $1,325 an ounce in Europe on Tuesday as the dollar slipped sharply against the euro, with recent volatility in the currency markets boosting demand for the metal as a safe store of value.
"This morning it is a dollar-related move, but it is also the wider currency issues that have been highlighted by an increasing number of commentators," said Tom Kendall, an analyst at Credit Suisse.

FOREX-Euro jumps vs dollar, yen trims post-BOJ loss
LONDON, Oct 5 (Reuters) - The euro jumped against the dollar on Tuesday on reported Asian buying, pushing the greenback to an 8-1/2 month trade-weighted low, while the yen trimmed earlier falls against the U.S. currency.
"The yen falls after the BOJ decision looked unlikely to last. When rates were so close to zero anyway a further rate cut will make very little difference," said Elsa Lignos, currency strategist at RBC.

20101006 0849 Soy Oil & Palm Oil Related News.

Wheat up, corn steady on stimulus hope; soy falls
SINGAPORE, Oct 6 (Reuters) - U.S. wheat gained while corn was largely unchanged as grains held on to advances made in the previous session amid a broad-based rally in financial markets, underpinned by hopes of monetary easing.
"Fundamentally it may not be right, but it is the optimism which is leading everyone to buy some these commodities," said Jonathan Barratt, managing director of Commodity Broking Services in Sydney.

Analysts indicate smaller Brazil soy crop this year
SAO PAULO, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Brazil's 2010/2011 soybean crop is expected to come in slightly smaller than the record harvest last season, despite an expansion of the planted area, an average of eight outlooks indicated.
Brazil's new soy crop that producers began planting in the past days is seen at 67.9 million tonnes, the average of forecasts ranging from 65 million to 69.8 million tonnes. Last season, output reached a record 68.6 million tonnes, according to the same eight sources. 

Soy product futures ended higher across the board, propelled by broad based speculative buying in commodity markets. Soyoil was buoyed by a bounce in crude oil futures, analysts said. Soyoil is closely linked to energy prices as soyoil is the primary feedstock for U.S. bio-diesel fuel. December soyoil settled 0.37 cents or 0.9% higher at 43.82 cents per pound. December soymeal ended $7.00 or 2.4% higher at $299.30 per short ton.(Source: CME)

Corn, wheat rebound after sharp losses
MILAN/SINGAPORE, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Corn and wheat futures rose  in a technical rebound after sharp falls in the previous sessions with markets seeking new direction.
"It is a very technical market, it is testing new support and resistance levels and seeking new direction," said one Italian grain analyst.

Up on weather concerns; data eyed
KUALA LUMPUR, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Global vegetable oil markets rose  as traders took some positions on concerns over the impact of weather on soy growing and palm oil producing areas.
"The market is trading at a tight range but local sentiment still supportive as investors believe palm oil production is going to fall after September but overseas demand is still very strong," said a trader with foreign brokerage in Kuala Lumpur.

U.S. soy harvest surges ahead during mostly dry week
CHICAGO, Oct 4 (Reuters) - U.S. farmers raced ahead on the harvest of soybeans in the last week, taking advantage of mostly dry weather to bring in one-fifth of a likely bumper crop, the U.S. Department of Agriculture reported on Monday.
The corn harvest also advanced last week but fell short of some trade expectations as farmers appeared to shift the focus to soybeans.

Brazil soybean crop 67.5 Mln T in 10/11-US attache
WASHINGTON, Oct 4 (Reuters) - Brazil will plant a record 24 million hectares to soybeans and harvest 67.5 million tonnes of the oilseed in 2010/11, forecast the U.S. agricultural attache in Brasilia in a report released on Monday.
The forecast was higher than the Agriculture Department forecast of 65 million tonnes, made on Sept 10. USDA will update its estimates of crops around the world on Friday. Attache reports are not official USDA data.

Brazil soy growers sell 19 pct of new crop-Celeres
SAO PAULO, Oct 4 (Reuters) - Brazilian soybean producers have sold 19 percent of the 2010/11 soybean crop that farmers have just recently started to plant, up from 18 percent a week earlier, analysts Celeres said on Monday.
As of Oct. 1, sales of the new crop, which is seen at a record 69.1 million tonnes, were ahead of the 14 percent sold this time last year. Celeres said forward sales were just ahead of the 18 percent sold on average over the past five years at this period.

Analyst raises Brazil soy view to record high
SAO PAULO, Oct 4 (Reuters) - Analysts raised forecasts on Brazil's new soy crop on Monday, with one analyst forecasting a record crop of 69.1-mil tonnes, after spring rains arrived a few weeks behind schedule and triggered planting a soy area that may be larger than initially thought.
Crop analysts Celeres raised the forecast for the 2010/11 soybean crop on Monday by 1.8 percent from a previous forecast in August/September to what would be a record 69.1 million tonnes.