Thursday, November 12, 2009

20091112 0927 Malaysia Corporate News.


Kencana Petroleum has proposed to implement rights and bonus issues to raise financial assistance for its 25%-owned associate Mermaid Kenana Rig 1 Pte Ltd. The proposal will involve a renounceable rights issue of up to 369.07m rights shares at an issue price of 50 per right share on a two-for-five basis. This could raise up to RM185m, assuming all the remaining 17.5m employee share options are exercised. The proceeds are expected to be utilised within two years for capital expenditure, investment opportunities, business expansion, working capital and repayment of bank borrowings and expenses for the rights issue amounting to RM4.5m. Kencana has also proposed a bonus issue of up to 387.52m new shares on the basis of three-for-10. (Malaysian Reserve) We are negatively surprised by the cash call as Kencana's balance sheet is strong with net gearing of only 8%. Nonetheless, we note that this is a deeply discounted rights as the price of 50 sen is at a 78% discount to yesterday's closing price of RM2.27 and 72% discount to the ex-rights price of RM1.76. This means that effectively Kencana is doing a small cash call with a significant element of a bonus issue. Including the post rights 3-for-10 bonus issue, the share capital of the group could increase 83% to 1.68bn shares. The dilution impact on FY11/12 EPS is estimated at only around 6%. We will review our earnings estimates and recommendation pending further clarification from management about the rights and the prospects of the company. 

Source say Media Prima would likely revise upwards its offer price for NSTP while NSTP is expected to announce a special dividend. An announcement will be made today. The revise offer involves a change in the valuation of NSTP's business and the price revision will be reflected in the swap ratio which will no longer be 1-for-1. (StarBiz) This is a surprise development as MD/CEO Dato' Amrin Awaluddin recently indicated that there would be no chance of a higher offer. This turn of event would be positive for the progress of the NSTP privatisation deal and is likely to entice NSTP minorities to take up the offer. The potential special dividend payout by NSTP would be another positive surprise. Shares of Media Prima (MPB) and The New Straits Times Press (M) (NSTP) will remain suspended today, in anticipation of an announcement to revise the terms and conditions of MPB’s offer to take NSTP private. (BT)

Power : The use of nuclear energy to generate electricity in the country is safe and can also increase the long-term national energy security, DG of Malaysian Nuclear Agency (Nuclear Malaysia) Datuk Dr Daud Mohamad said. "We know that nuclear technology is a clean and safe technology which had been developed over 50 years ago. Besides, it does not release the greenhouse gas effects," he added. Dr Daud said nuclear power was deemed as the future source of energy because nuclear-generated electricity was cheaper than any other alternative sources. (Bernama)

The Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) initiatives, now limited to big plantation companies, will be extended to smallholders next year, its secretary-general Dr Vengeta Rao said. Rao said the RSPO would be introducing a certification scheme for smallholders. "We are doing whatever is necessary for the smallholders to be certified. For the smallholders scheme, we have the standards and need to undertake a trial in Indonesia and later in Malaysia," he said. To help reduce the burden of smallholders in terms of certification cost, he said the RSPO is looking at a different mechanism for them.(Bernama)

China : Malaysia’s government has agreed to award a contract to a Chinese company to develop double railway tracks from Johor Baru to Gemas, in the state of Negeri Sembilan, prime Minister Najib Razak said. He didn’t name the Chinese company. Malaysia and China would also cooperate in other projects including the Mengkuang dam, aluminum smelter in Sarawak and a pulp and paper project. (Bloomberg, Bernama)


MAS : In an effort to simplify and enhance the travel experience of customers, Malaysia Airlines (MAS) is investing RM480m in its Passenger Services System (PSS) over 10 years. "We believe that over a period of 10 years it will give us benefits worth over RM2bn," said MD and CEO Tengku Datuk Azmil Zahruddin. "This is both in terms of revenue for customers due to the enhancement that we are giving as well as better efficiency that we expect to get from the system," he said. (Bernama)
 

Airasia : In anticipation of strong demand to its "1 Million Free Seats" offer, AirAsia has doubled its server capacity to cope with the huge increase in demand. Demand has vastly exceeded its expectations partly driven by its entry into new markets such as Australia, United Kingdom, India, China and the Middle East, resulting in congestion on airasia.com. "For those who have not been able to make a booking, we urge them to be patient and keep trying as there are still 700,000 free seats available up to Nov 15," said regional head of Commercial, Kathleen Tan. (Bernama)

Green Packet has agreed to subscribe for 419,500 Class A ICPS in Packet One for RM110m or RM262.22 per share.
  • Green Packet said the preference share subscription would enable the company toinvest in Packet One's rollout of its worldwide interoperability for microwave access(WiMAX) network that would provide commercial wireless access services across the country. 
  • The Class A ICPS shall carry an expected dividend amounting to 47.5% of its acquisition price for each preference share throughout a 10-year tenure. 
  • It also expected interim dividend distribution based on an annual average of 4.75% foreach Class A ICPS, to be paid semi-annually subject to the availability of distributable profits. 
  • The subscription would be funded via interally generated funds. The proposed exerciseis expected to be completed by 4Q09. (Financial Daily) 
REDtone International has acquired Kerry Telecommunications (Shanghai)'s 25% stake in REDtone Telecommunications (China) (RTCL) for HK$20.5m (RM8.942m). The acquisition enabled it to have full control over RTCL and its subsidiaries in China as it already holds the balance of 75% interest. REDtone International expects RTCL's telecommunication business to contribute positively towards the group's revenue and profit as it has been developed to a healthy level currently and continued to expand the market there. (Bernama)

Bank of East Asia’s (BEA) shares surged as investors bet on a potential bidding war between its long-time owners and a Malaysian conglomerate that upped its stake in the bank last week. The control of the Li family, the largest shareholder in BEA with 14% stake, may be under threat, as Malaysia's Guoco Group, led by tycoon Quek Leng Chan, disclosed last week that it had raised its stake in BEA above 8%, bolstering its position as the bank's third largest shareholder after Spain's Criteria CaixaCorp. (SCMP) 


Bank Islam Malaysia says it plans to be active in the equity capital market, now that it has a  licence to offer the full scope of Islamic investment banking activities. "This mean we can now do things like initial public offerings (IPOs) and reverse takeovers. So we are operating like any other investment banks in the country. We can offer our clients total financing solutions," Mashitah Osman, its head of corporate investment banking, said. The debt capital market business will, however, continue to be the segment's bread-and-butter business. Mashitah expects investment banking activities to start contributing significantly to Bank Islam's group revenue from this year. The bank aims to double its fee-based income this year. It is targeting for between 20-30% of group revenue to be fee-based, she said. (BT)

Malaysian Resources Corp (MRCB) plans to undertake its biggest development project ever in the Klang Valley by as early as next year. Group MD Shahril Ridza Ridzuan said MRCB will use part of the RM566m raised from a rights issue to buy land for the development. "We are looking at a few plots of land. Depending on the land size and location, we will decide on the best development to do," Shahril said. He said the group is also buying land for new commercial and residential projects in 2010. (BT) MRCB's COO Mohamad Razeek Hussain is likely to succeed Shahril Ridza Ridzuan as MD. MRCB board will be making the decision soon. Razeek Hussain has over 20 years experience in property development projects, having worked with SIME UEP, Land & General and E&O Property. (Star)

Energy : Capital expenditure cuts among the oil majors could lead to constraint in capacity growth in the medium term and a shortfall in supply, according to the International Energy Agency's (IEA) World Energy Outlook 2009 report. The IEA estimates that oil demand will rise from 85m barrels per day (bpd) in 2008 to 99m bdp in 2015 and 105m bpd in 2030. In addition, it was reported that the world was closer to running out of oil but that official estiates appeared to have been toned down to avoid panic buying. The upside to the scenario is that oil and gas projects that were shelved over the part year will start to make a comeback. (Financial Daily)


Melati Ehsan plans to buy four pieces of land measuring 109,743 sq m in Pekan Padamaran in Klang, Selangor, from TPPT Sdn Bhd for RM15.5m. The purchase is part of the group’s plan to acquire strategic land bank for residential and commercial property development at the Southern Klang corridor. (BT)


JAKS Resources plans to raise up to RM48.2m from a proposed placement exercise of up to 10% of the company’s equity. Proceeds from the placement will be used for working capital, business expansion, settlement of bank borrowings and/or other investments as well as to defray the expenses for the placement exercise. (BT) 


K-One Technology has proposed to transfer its listing status to the Main Market of Bursa Malaysia Securities after meeting the profit track record requirement of three to five full financial years, with an aggregate consolidated net profit of at least RM20m and that of the most recent year of at least RM6m. It has appointed AmInvestment Bank as adviser for the proposal and expects it to be completed in the first quarter of 2010. (Financial Daily) 

Xidelang Holdings made its debut on Bursa Malaysia's Main Market with a premium of 17 sen over its offer price of 58 sen. It closed five sen higher at 63 sen with a volume of 110.542m shares. (Bernama)

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

20091111 1826 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.



Crude palm oil futures traded in thin volume today by closing 8 points lower at 2234 despite stronger crude oil and soy oil futures price with a weaker US dollar. However, price still remained above the middle Bollinger band = market sentiment remain biased to the upside. Bollinger band width narrowing at a slower pace = market will likely to trade side way range bound. MACD Histrogram continue to lower = could be partial long position covering happen today. Overall, market has yet to turn negative with immediate support rest at middle Bollinger band level. 
When to buy : buy at support/weakness/break out with larger cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20091111 1734 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.



Forming a doji bar candle with lower volume traded today, FKLI closed 3.5 points higher at 1275.5 doing premium toward the cash market. Price still traded above the middle Bollinger band with the band width getting wider = market bullish sentiment to continue with further upside potential. MACD Histrogram stay higher above the zero line = buyer still patrolling in the market. At last looked, both Dow Jones futures and major European market also trading high. Hang Seng futures closed at a 37 points premium compare to its cash market. 
When to buy : buy at support/weakness/break out with larger cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell to lock in profit and not advisable to initiate short postion.

20091111 1640 DJIA EOD Daily Chart Study.



The Dow advanced marginally higher to closed at 10246.97 up 20.03 points forming a doji bar candle right at the upper Bollinger band with the band width continue to expande = the uptrend is still intact. MACD Histrogram also continue to edge up higher = buyer still role the market. Overall, the Dow market sentiment remained bullish with the next immediate target at 10500 level.

20091111 1455 FKLI Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.



FKLI gap up in the morning but the upward momentum failed to sustained with selling pressure came in to lock in profit pushed it lower to closed at 1271.5. Chart wise, few hourly chart doji bar candles hovering around the mid Bollinger band with the band width narrowly slowly = market are likely to stay side way range bound. MACD Histrogram also dropping slowly = evidence of seller taking profit. Overall, market is in a consolidating side way market.

20091111 1241 FCPO Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.



Low volume traded this morning on FCPO that closed 9 points lower at 2233 due to lack of buying interest and increasing stock pile news from MPOB. Hourly chart wise doesn't looks promising as price closed below the middle Bollinger band with the band width expanding = market has turned into selling mood. MACD Histrogram also continue to slide lower = seller is in control of the market today. Immediate support stands at 2215 level.

20091111 1052 Local Corporate News.

MRCB: Invests RM21m in Australian property firm. Bitar Enterprises Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned subsidiary is buying 70% of Yes 88 Pty Ltd for AUD6.57m (RM20.7m). The estimated gross development value of the proposed development is AUD55m , including two four story-buildings with basement car parking residential dwellings and student accommodation. (Source: Malaysian Reserve) 

Maxis: Fixes share price at RM4.75. Maxis's share price has been fixed at RM4.75 to retail investors and RM5 to institutional investors, according to a press released by Maxis Communications Bhd (MCB). (Source: Malaysian Reserve) 


F&N: To launch 50 new F&B products after Jan 2010. F&N intends to launch 50 new food and beverage products within the next two years. Upon expiry of the Coca-Cola agreement after Jan 2010, the company will focus on its own products, especially for the dairies and soft drinks division. (Source: Bernama)

Green Packet: Proposes private placement of 84m new shares. Green Packet has proposed a private placement of up to 84.8m new shares of 20 sen each in the company to partly fund the group‟s deployment of its WiMax network and services. (Source: Malaysian Reserve)
Construction: Sector to grow by 3.5% in 2009. The construction sector is expected to grow by 3.5% in 2009 despite the current global financial crisis, said Second Finance Minister Datuk Ahmad Husni Hanadzlah. (Source: Bernama)


Crest Builders: Bags RM145m contract. Crest Builders Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned subsidiary, has been awarded a contract by Khoo Joo Saik worth RM145.3m for the construction of super structure works of a 35 storey office tower in Jalan Ampang, Kuala Lumpur. (Source: Malaysian Reserve)

20091111 0926 Malaysia Economic News

Economic news - Tenth Malaysia Plan (2011-15): Towards a high-income economy.
The Economic Planning Unit (EPU) yesterday conducted a briefing on the Tenth Malaysia Plan (10MP) to captains of industries. The 10MP essentially sets a platform for Malaysia to achieve developed nation status by 2020. The plan will engage more effective as well as sustainable public-private sector partnerships to drive the economic development plans. The government will provide RM15bn under the private finance initiative (PFI) facilitation fund, to generate more private investment projects. The 10MP plans a real GDP growth target of 5.5% p.a. for 2011-2015. Reflecting the gradual downsizing of the public sector, private investment growth will increase by 10.5% p.a., outpacing that of public investment (0.7% p.a.) in 10MP. The policymakers are fully aware of the constraints and promised in the 2010 Budget to dismantle any barriers to re-energising private investment including policies, rules, regulations and procedures.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

20091110 1854 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.



Crude palm oil opened higher and tested above the resistant line but no follow through brought the market down lower to closed at 2242 retreated 24 points with higher volume traded. At closed price still remained above the middle Bollinger band = market still traded in postive territory. However, Bollinger band width turned narrowing = market will likely to stay side way range bound. MACD Histrogram also taken a step lower = there are more seller activities participated in the market today. Overall market still trading in the positive zone with possible side way market. Fundamentally, export figure released today shows some improvement follow by increase in stocks and output neutralised the positive sentiment toward crude palm oil price. 
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with larger cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.  

20091110 1833 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.



FKLI closed 1272 down 1 point in high volume after morning gap up followed by profit taking activities on the afternoon session. Today black bar candle touched the upper Bollinger band and closed lower but stayed above the middle Bollinger band with the Bollinger band width expanding = market still remained in positive tone. MACD Histrogram risen and penetrated into the positive zone marginally = buyer still outnumbers seller after some profit taking activities. Chart wise, the uptrend is still intact but today candles forming a dark cloud cover formation (2nd formation since 16Oct2009) with high volume should not be taken lightly. 
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20091110 1628 Dow Jones EOD Daily Chart Study.



The Dow march 203.52 higher to closed the day strongly at 10226.94 level. The 10120 resistant level will now became the immediate support line for DJIA. Price closed higher forming a wide range bar candle above the upper Bollinger band with the band width expanding = the bullish sentiment continues but the upward price movement is a little over extended. MACD Histrogram lifted higher into the positive zone = Total retreat of seller from the market as buyer won the battle. Uptrend market remain intact but due to the over extended price surged, the Dow could have some consolidation take place today.

20091110 1511 Crude Palm Oil Data by MPOB

Malaysia Palm Oil Board Oct 2009 Data : 
  • Oct 09 Export up 11.75% vs Sep09 
  • Oct 09 End-Stocks up 25.03% vs Sep09
  • Oct 09 Output up 27.43% vs Sep09